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Solar wind
speed: 519.5 km/sec
density: 1.7 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2346 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B7
1727 UT Jul14
24-hr: C1
1210 UT Jul14
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2300 UT
Daily Sun: 14 Jul 15
None of these sunspots has the type of unstable magnetic field that poses a threat for strong solar flares. Solar activity is low. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 44
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 14 Jul 2015

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2015 total: 0 days (0%)

2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)

Updated 14 Jul 2015


The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 110 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 14 Jul 2015

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 7.7 nT
Bz: 4.8 nT north
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2347 UT
Coronal Holes: 14 Jul 15

There are no large coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun. Credit: SDO/AIA.
Noctilucent Clouds The northern season for NLCs is underway. NASA's AIM spacecraft spotted the first noctilucent clouds over the Arctic Circle on May 19th.
Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar
Updated at: 07-14-2015 20:55:03
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2015 Jul 14 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2015 Jul 14 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
10 %
MINOR
05 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
20 %
SEVERE
20 %
20 %
 
Tuesday, Jul. 14, 2015
What's up in space
 

Learn to photograph Northern Lights like a pro. Sign up for Peter Rosen's Aurora Photo Courses in Abisko National Park, winner of the TripAdvisor Certificate of Excellence Award 2015.

 
Lapland tours

SWx FORECAST VIDEO: Harvard undergraduate Matthew Cappucci has created another forecast video for the readers of spaceweather.com. Check it out! Aurora alerts: text or voice.

PLUTO FLYBY: New Horizons made its closest approach to Pluto this morning, just 7,750 miles above the dwarf planet's surface. Now the waiting begins. During the flyby, the spacecraft was too busy taking pictures and gathering data to communicate with Earth. Mission controllers will receive their first status report from New Horizons this evening after 9 pm EDT letting them know that the spacecraft survived the encounter. Check for updates at the New Horizons home page.

Tired of waiting? Readers of spaceweather.com, many of whom are experienced image processors, have been working with the latest photos of Pluto. Brent from Orlando, Florida, produced this enhanced view of the entire planet as seen by New Horizons on July 13th:

"When I saw the original photo, I ran it through my processing programs: Regi6 (clarifying), Regi4 (tone map), Neb2 (color balance), and Gimp2 (depth merge)," he explains. "Enjoy!"

Additional views of Pluto, both original and alternative, may be found in the Realtime Photo Gallery:

Realtime Pluto Photo Gallery

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A solar wind stream hit Earth's magnetic field on July 13th, sparking a G1-class geomagnetic storm. Technically, such a storm is considered "mild," but this one produced an extra dose of auroras. "I got more than I bargained for considering this was just a G1-class event," reports Lukasz Gornisiewicz of Wainwright, Alberta, Canada. "It was amazing to see the aurora ripping up the twilight, and trying to fight the sunrise!" He recorded the occasion with a self-portrait:

This prococious storm sparked Northern Lights in the USA as far south as Nebraska. "Surprisingly, auroras appeared over the 2015 Nebraska Star Party!" reports amateur astronomer Patrick Cullis. Not quite as surprising, there was also a "gorgeous display" over McMurdo Station at the South Pole.

The solar wind is subsiding now, and the auroras are fading away. NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of additional geomagnetic storms on July 14th, declining to only 20% on July 15-16th. Aurora alerts: text or voice.

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery

ICE AGE NEWS REPORTS ARE EXAGGERATED: Stop the presses. The mainstream media is reporting a sensational new study about the sun's inner magnetic dynamo. According to a double-dynamo model advanced by researchers at Northumbria University in the UK, solar activity could drop by 60% in the 2030s, mimicking conditions during the Little Ice Age of the 17th century. A widely copied quote-fragment from lead researcher Valentina Zharkova states that "...we found that our predictions showed an accuracy of 97%." In fact, the model has never successfully predicted any future solar activity. So far it has only been used to "predict" solar cycles from 1976 to 2008. Almost any model can be fine-tuned to match the past. As forecasting tools, previous dynamo models have failed spectacularly. The double-dynamo model of Zharkova et al may yet prove to be correct, but until it passes the test of correctly predicting future solar activity, there is little reason to worry about an historic decline in sunspots, much less an Ice Age.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery


Realtime NLC Photo Gallery


Realtime Sprite Photo Gallery


  All Sky Fireball Network

Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jul. 14, 2015, the network reported 20 fireballs.
(18 sporadics, 1 Northern June Aquilid, 1 alpha Capricornid)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On July 14, 2015 there were potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Size
2015 NR2
Jul 9
10.7 LD
28 m
1994 AW1
Jul 15
25.3 LD
1.3 km
2011 UW158
Jul 19
6.4 LD
540 m
2013 BQ18
Jul 20
7.9 LD
38 m
1999 JD6
Jul 25
18.8 LD
1.6 km
2005 NZ6
Aug 6
76.5 LD
1.4 km
2005 JF21
Aug 16
20.1 LD
1.6 km
2004 BO41
Aug 31
57.3 LD
1.2 km
1991 CS
Sep 4
62.1 LD
1.4 km
2014 KS76
Sep 14
8.7 LD
22 m
2004 TR12
Sep 15
58.8 LD
1.0 km
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather
Columbia Northern High School
  Web-based high school science course with free enrollment
  more links...
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