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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 734.0 km/sec
density: 9.3 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0000 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1
2128 UT Feb01
24-hr: B1
0437 UT Feb01
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2300 UT
Daily Sun: 01 Feb 17
New sunspot AR2632 is growing rapidly but it does not yet pose a threat for strong flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 42
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 01 Feb 2017

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2017 total: 10 days (32%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)

2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)

Updated 01 Feb 2017


The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 76 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 01 Feb 2017

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 5
storm
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.5 nT
Bz: -1.9 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0000 UT
Coronal Holes: 01 Feb 17

Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Credit: NASA/SDO.
Noctilucent Clouds The southern season for noctilucent clouds began on Nov. 17, 2016. Come back to this spot every day to see the "daily daisy" from NASA's AIM spacecraft, which is monitoring the dance of electric-blue around the Antarctic Circle.
Switch view: Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated at: 02-01-2017 17:55:02
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2017 Feb 01 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2017 Feb 01 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
35 %
30 %
MINOR
10 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
30 %
30 %
SEVERE
45 %
35 %
 
Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2017
What's up in space
       
 

Marianne's Arctic Xpress supports World Cancer Day by donating 50% of the price paid on all bookings Feb. 3-5 to cancer research. Arctic clothing and semi-pro cameras included. Groups of 2 to 8 welcome. Book Now

 

THE SOLAR WIND HAS ARRIVED: As predicted, a high-speed stream of solar wind hit Earth's magnetic field during the early hours of Feb. 1st. The impact literally rattled Earth's magnetic field (more on this below) and sparked bright auroras around the Arctic Circle. "Light night was bonkers," reports photographer Oliver Wright, who took this picture while leading an aurora photo tour in Abisko, Sweden:

The solar wind stream that sparked this display is flowing from a large canyon-shaped hole in the the sun's atmosphere. It's a wide hole, and Earth should remain in the emerging stream for at least two more days. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% to 60% chance of continued geomagnetic storms on Feb. 1-2. Free: Aurora alerts.

What happens, exactly, when a solar wind stream hits Earth's magnetic field? Imagine yourself opening the door of your kitchen refigerator and finding a bowl of jello inside. Go ahead. Thump the surface. The jello vibrates. Earth's magnetic field behaves a bit like that jello when thumped by a solar wind disturbance. In the UK, Spaceweather.com reader Stuart Green operates a magnetometer that measures unrest in his local magnetic field. This plot from Jan. 31-Feb. 1 clearly shows the arrival of today's solar wind stream:

"The predicted solar storm has arrived in the form of fast flowing solar wind, the result of which is twitching magnetometers around the globe, including my own here in the north-west of England," says Green. "There is no doubt from the data when exactly Earth entered the fast flowing wind stream."

Vibrations in the magnetic field allow particles normally trapped in our planet's magnetosphere to rain down around the poles, igniting auroras. Magnetic unrest should continue tonight as Earth moves deeper into the gusty stream of solar wind.

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery

FAR-OUT VALENTINE'S GIFT: Did you know that cosmic rays are intensifying? That's just one of many results from the space weather ballooning program of Earth to Sky Calculus. The students receive no support from corporate sponsors or government grants. Instead, they are crowd-funded. Or rather ... bear-funded:

Sales of Valentine's gifts like these space bears support our research. All proceeds support cosmic ray balloon launches and STEM education.

Get a pair for yourself. They're only $79.95--including the rose, which has been pressed for safekeeping. Each adorable duo comes with Valentine's card showing the bears in flight and certifying their trip to the stratosphere. More out of this world gifts may be found in the Earth to Sky store

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery


Realtime Airglow Photo Gallery


Realtime Sprite Photo Gallery

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Feb. 1, 2017, the network reported 16 fireballs.
(16 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On February 1, 2017 there were 1771 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Size
2017 BH30
Jan 30
0.1 LD
8 m
2017 BN30
Jan 31
10.2 LD
34 m
2017 BJ30
Jan 31
1 LD
21 m
2017 BY5
Jan 31
10.4 LD
30 m
2017 BT6
Jan 31
13.1 LD
47 m
2017 BB7
Jan 31
3 LD
12 m
2017 BB6
Feb 2
5.6 LD
17 m
2017 BQ32
Feb 2
10.3 LD
21 m
2017 BS32
Feb 2
0.4 LD
19 m
2005 VL1
Feb 3
11.4 LD
18 m
2017 BG30
Feb 5
2.5 LD
6 m
2013 FK
Feb 5
7.1 LD
101 m
2017 BK30
Feb 5
8.7 LD
15 m
2017 BQ6
Feb 7
6.6 LD
230 m
2017 BM3
Feb 8
12.6 LD
108 m
2017 BP30
Feb 9
14.7 LD
27 m
2014 DV110
Feb 10
9.8 LD
45 m
2015 QR3
Feb 12
13.1 LD
31 m
2017 BK32
Feb 12
10.6 LD
26 m
2017 BW
Feb 17
4.6 LD
88 m
2013 WT67
Feb 17
44.2 LD
1.1 km
1992 FE
Feb 24
13.1 LD
275 m
1998 QK56
Feb 24
53 LD
1.2 km
2012 DR32
Mar 2
2.7 LD
52 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

Readers, thank you for your patience while we continue to develop this new section of Spaceweather.com. We've been working to streamline our data reduction, allowing us to post results from balloon flights much more rapidly, and we have developed a new data product, shown here:

This plot displays radiation measurements not only in the stratosphere, but also at aviation altitudes. Dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. These measurements are made by our usual cosmic ray payload as it passes through aviation altitudes en route to the stratosphere over California.

What is this all about? Approximately once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 12% since 2015:


Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth's magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.

The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Reneger-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
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