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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

SpaceWeather.com
Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind

speed: 450.2 km/s
density:
3.3 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2246 UT

X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
C2 2210 UT Nov19
24-hr: M1 0400 UT Nov19
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 19 Nov '03
They're back. All three sunspots that caused intense space weather last month are again visible on the Earth-facing side of the sun. Active regions 484, 486, and 488 pose a threat for X-class solar flares. Image credit: SOHO MDI

The Far Side of the Sun

This holographic image reveals a modest sunspot on the far side of the sun. Image credit: SOHO/MDI


Sunspot Number: 90
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 18 Nov 2003

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 6.4 nT
Bz:
0.4 nT north
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2246 UT

Coronal Holes:

Earth could encounter a solar wind stream from the indicated coronal hole as early as Nov. 22nd. Image credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2003 Nov 19 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 80 % 80 %
CLASS X 20 % 25 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2003 Nov 19 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 35 % 30 %
MINOR 35 % 25 %
SEVERE 20 % 15 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 30 % 35 %
MINOR 30 % 35 %
SEVERE 25 % 20 %

What's Up in Space -- 19 Nov 2003
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SOLAR OUTLOOK : Giant sunspots 486 and 488, which caused so much intense space weather last month, have been transiting the farside of the sun since Nov. 4th. Now they're back. The pair are emerging over the sun's eastern limb where they can once again direct explosions toward Earth. Meanwhile, sunspot 484 near the middle of the solar disk has developed a complex magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. Strong solar activity is possible in the days ahead.

Above: Anthony Ayiomamitis of Athens, Greece, took this picture of sunspots 484, 486 and 488 on Nov. 19th. [more]

AURORA WATCH: A coronal mass ejection (CME) is heading toward Earth; it was hurled into space by an M-class explosion near sunspot 484 on Nov. 18th (0800 UT). Sky watchers at all latitudes should be alert for auroras when the CME arrives after nightfall on Nov. 19th or 20th.

Right: Looking through the window of an airplane 34,000 feet above the North Atlantic Ocean, photographers Mark and Deborah Simpson captured this remarkable scene on Nov. 17th. "We were taking pictures during the whole flight," says Mark. "The tough part was no tripod. Also, light from the cabin reflected off the double glazed windows, so we had to block all the light out with the standard issue blankets. I did half the pictures, my wife who has a steadier hand did the other half. We used a Sony F707 Digital Camera, 30 second exposure, f2.0." [gallery]

LEODUDS: Sky watchers in Hawaii, Florida, Texas and parts of South America say they saw only a few Leonid meteors this morning. Perhaps Earth missed the anticipated comet debris trail. Or we hit it and the meteors were simply too faint to make an impression. Stay tuned for reports from other parts of the world.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 19 Nov 2003 there were 542 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

November 2003 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 MISS DISTANCE

 MAG.
Hermes

Nov. 4

18 LD

 13
1990 OS

Nov. 12

9 LD

 15
1996 GT

Nov. 12

19 LD

 13
2003 UX5

Nov. 13

32 LD

 17
1998 UT18

Nov. 28

26 LD

 15
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Soft X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

SOHO Farside Images of the Sun from SWAN and MDI.

The Latest SOHO Coronagraph Images -- from the Naval Research Lab

The Sun from Earth -- daily images of our star from the Big Bear Solar Observatory

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Aurora Forecast --from the University of Alaska's Geophysical Institute

Daily Solar Flare and Sunspot Data -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

What is an Iridium flare? See also Photographing Satellites by Brian Webb.

Vandenberg AFB missile launch schedule.

What is an Astronomical Unit, or AU?

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; Jan-Mar., 2003; Apr-Jun., 2003;

Recent International Astronomical Union Circulars

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

Editor's Note: Space weather and other forecasts that appear on this site are formulated by Dr. Tony Phillips. They are not official statements of any government agency (including NASA) nor should they be construed as guarantees of space weather or other celestial activity.

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Dr. Tony Phillips
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