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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 497.4 km/sec
density: 1.4 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B6
2331 UT Feb28
24-hr: C1
0939 UT Feb28
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 28 Feb 22
Expand: labels | no labels
All of these sunspots have simple, stable magnetic fields that pose no threat for strong flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 48
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 28 Feb 2022

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2022 total: 0 days (0%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 28 Feb 2022


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 11.11
x1010 W Cool
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 28 Feb 2022

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 97 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 28 Feb 2022

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is beginning, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: +6.3% High
48-hr change: -0.3%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 28 Feb 2022 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.5 nT
Bz: 2.9 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2346 UT
Coronal Holes: 28 Feb 22

Solar wind flowing from this equatorial coronal hole could reach Earth on Feb. 28-March 1.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds The southern hemisphere season for noctilucent clouds has begun. NASA's AIM spacecraft detected the first electric-blue puffs over Antarctica on Dec. 14th.
Switch view: Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated at:
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2022 Feb 28 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2022 Feb 28 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
30 %
15 %
MINOR
15 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
15 %
MINOR
25 %
25 %
SEVERE
40 %
25 %
 
Monday, Feb. 28, 2022
What's up in space
       
 

Lights Over Lapland has a full catalogue of exciting adventures in Abisko National Park, Sweden! Check out our daytime and evening activities and book your adventure!

 

NEW SUNSPOTS: Several new sunspots are emerging in both of the sun's hemisphere. Amateur astronomers, here is where to look to witness sunspot genesis. It is too soon to say if these young active regions will eventually pose any threat for flares. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.

TONGA VOLCANIC ERUPTION TOUCHED THE MESOSPHERE: When a volcano exploded out of the Pacific Ocean near Tonga on Jan. 15th, scientists immediately realized they were witnessing something special. Little did they know how special. A new analysis of images from Earth-orbiting satellites shows that the plume punched a hole in our atmosphere all the way up to the mesosphere.

"The intensity of this event far exceeds that of any storm cloud I have ever studied," said Kristopher Bedka, an atmospheric scientist at NASA Langley who specializes in studying extreme storms.

Bedka and colleagues combined images from two satellites: NOAA's GOES-17 and Japan's Himawari-8, both of which observed the eruption using similar infrared cameras from different points in geosynchronous orbit. Using the mathematics of stereo geometry, the team calculated that the plume rose to 58 kilometers (36 miles) at its highest point.

For comparison, the largest known volcanic plume in the satellite era before Tonga came from Mount Pinatubo, which spewed ash and aerosols up to 35 kilometers (22 miles) into the air above the Philippines in 1991. The Tonga plume was 1.5 times the height of Pinatubo, making it the tallest of the Space Age.

The extreme height of the Tonga plume means it could potentially affect space weather phenomena such as sprites, airglow, and noctilucent clouds, which also occur in the mesosphere. Indeed, there was a surge of noctilucent clouds after the eruption (possibly coincidental) as well as ripples in the airglow layer over the Pacific Ocean. Tonga was truly out of this world.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

'TONGA SUNSETS' CONTINUE: A month and a half after the Tonga volcano erupted, sky watchers are still seeing unusual sunsets. Petr Horálek sends this picture from Thoddoo Island in the Maldives:

"Yesterday people on the beach experienced a truly colorful sunset," says Horálek. "Since no ordinary dust now appears in the atmosphere over the Maldives, I think this might be caused by the Tonga volcano.

The purple color in Horálek's photo is a classic sign of volcanic sunsets. Fine volcanic aerosols in the stratosphere scatter blue light which, when mixed with ordinary sunset red, produces a purple hue. According to atmospheric scientist Ghassan Taha of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, aerosols from Tonga could stay in the stratosphere for a year or more.

More Tonga sunsets: from Heiko Ulbricht of Altenberg, Saxony, Germany; from Fabiano B. Diniz of Pontal do Paraná, Brazil; from Cassiano Macedo of Sao Paulo, Brazil; from Peter Lowenstein of Mutare, Zimbabwe; from Daniele Gasparri of Atacama, Chile; from Ray Pickard of the Bathurst Observatory, NSW Australia;

THE CRESCENT VENUS PENDANT: Are you looking for a far-out gift? Consider the Crescent Venus Pendant. This one flew to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon on Jan. 8, 2022:

You can have it for $142.95. The opal crescent is framed by sterling silver with a matching hypoallergenic chain. It comes with a greeting card showing the pendant in flight and telling the story of its journey to the stratosphere.

Why is it a crescent? Because Venus itself was a crescent on the date of the flight. On Jan. 8, 2022, the second planet was at inferior conjunction with the sun. From Earth it looked like a slender crescent--the most beautiful phase of the Goddess of Love.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Feb 27, 2022, the network reported 6 fireballs.
(6 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On February 28, 2022 there were 2269 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2022 DO2
2022-Feb-23
1.8 LD
8.7
9
2022 CK7
2022-Feb-23
12.2 LD
9.2
40
2022 BS6
2022-Feb-23
13.5 LD
12
44
2022 DJ1
2022-Feb-23
1.1 LD
4.4
11
2017 CX1
2022-Feb-23
15.2 LD
5
8
2016 QJ44
2022-Feb-24
19.6 LD
8.5
319
2022 DY1
2022-Feb-24
0.6 LD
14.3
9
2022 DG
2022-Feb-24
5.8 LD
5.1
13
2022 DH
2022-Feb-25
2.8 LD
7.1
11
2022 DF
2022-Feb-25
10.5 LD
7.8
46
2022 DW1
2022-Feb-25
7.9 LD
12.9
31
2022 DC
2022-Feb-25
12.2 LD
6.8
34
2021 QO2
2022-Feb-25
20 LD
11
65
2022 DR1
2022-Feb-25
9.8 LD
3.4
13
2022 DL1
2022-Feb-26
1.7 LD
9.4
7
2022 DD3
2022-Feb-26
4.9 LD
4.1
9
2022 DW
2022-Feb-26
4.5 LD
19.8
17
2022 DT2
2022-Feb-26
6.9 LD
13.3
27
2022 DO3
2022-Feb-27
0.3 LD
15
14
2022 DA2
2022-Feb-27
2.7 LD
26.4
19
2022 DX1
2022-Feb-27
4.7 LD
7.6
10
2022 DL
2022-Feb-27
18.8 LD
12.4
43
2022 DH3
2022-Feb-27
10.4 LD
12.4
33
2022 DQ2
2022-Feb-28
1.2 LD
20.3
32
2022 DK2
2022-Feb-28
3.1 LD
16.6
12
2020 UO4
2022-Feb-28
18.5 LD
2.1
7
2022 DQ1
2022-Mar-01
7.5 LD
8.5
15
2022 DY2
2022-Mar-01
1.1 LD
15.4
7
2022 DA3
2022-Mar-01
3.5 LD
10.5
10
2022 DE3
2022-Mar-02
2 LD
6.9
9
2022 DM1
2022-Mar-02
17.9 LD
6.7
17
2022 DN1
2022-Mar-03
11.4 LD
10
20
2022 DK1
2022-Mar-03
9.7 LD
6.4
23
2022 DC1
2022-Mar-03
13.4 LD
8.3
17
138971
2022-Mar-04
12.8 LD
12
742
2021 UL7
2022-Mar-04
11.5 LD
2
25
2022 DT3
2022-Mar-06
9.8 LD
19.5
22
2022 DO1
2022-Mar-06
6.6 LD
13.8
15
2020 DC
2022-Mar-06
3.9 LD
4.9
16
2022 DH1
2022-Mar-07
18 LD
7
45
2022 DS3
2022-Mar-09
13.3 LD
3.7
15
2021 EY1
2022-Mar-10
10.1 LD
15.5
16
2015 DR215
2022-Mar-11
17.5 LD
8.3
290
2022 DX2
2022-Mar-13
15.8 LD
12.8
39
2022 DR3
2022-Mar-13
15.6 LD
12.4
32
2018 GY
2022-Mar-13
11.9 LD
10.7
43
2022 BX1
2022-Mar-13
20.1 LD
11
161
2022 DP3
2022-Mar-15
3 LD
10.8
45
2022 DB2
2022-Mar-18
11 LD
8.6
52
2016 FZ12
2022-Mar-19
2.2 LD
8.3
16
2022 DX
2022-Mar-19
8.5 LD
1.5
9
2022 DG3
2022-Mar-21
18.3 LD
7.1
38
2020 SQ
2022-Mar-21
2.8 LD
6
12
2013 BO76
2022-Mar-24
13.3 LD
13.8
271
2011 GE3
2022-Mar-26
7.6 LD
7
22
2012 FX35
2022-Mar-26
13.7 LD
5.9
25
2010 GD35
2022-Mar-29
17.7 LD
12.5
43
2020 FW5
2022-Mar-30
8.9 LD
13.1
27
2007 FF1
2022-Apr-01
19.4 LD
12.8
155
2021 GN1
2022-Apr-02
14.4 LD
14.3
19
2016 GW221
2022-Apr-02
9.8 LD
5.9
41
2012 TV
2022-Apr-05
19.2 LD
18.1
32
2020 GH1
2022-Apr-09
16.8 LD
7.2
28
2017 TO2
2022-Apr-10
17.9 LD
11.6
78
363599
2022-Apr-12
19.3 LD
24.5
221
2020 TQ6
2022-Apr-18
13.4 LD
15.4
43
2017 UR2
2022-Apr-22
19.4 LD
9.3
10
2020 VN1
2022-Apr-25
19.3 LD
2.3
9
418135
2022-Apr-28
8.5 LD
10.4
443
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (Nov. 2021): Our balloons have just measured a sudden drop in atmospheric radiation. It happened during the strong geomagnetic storms of Nov. 3-4, 2021. Here are the data:

This is called a "Forbush decrease," named after American physicist Scott Forbush who studied cosmic rays in the early 20th century.  It happens when a CME from the sun sweeps past Earth and literally pushes cosmic rays away from our planet. Radiation from deep space that would normally pepper Earth's upper atmosphere is briefly wiped out.

We have measured Forbush decreases before. For example, here's one from Sept. 2014. The Forbush Decrease of Nov. 3-4, 2021, was the deepest in the history of our 7-year atmospheric monitoring program. Radiation levels in the stratosphere over California dropped nearly 20%, more than doubling the previous record from our dataset. 

En route to the stratosphere, our sensors also pass through aviation altitudes, so we can sample radiation where planes fly. This plot shows how the Forbush decrease was restricted to the stratosphere; it did not affect lower levels of the atmosphere:

The dose rates shown above are expressed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. The higher you fly, the more radiation you will absorb.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. Somewhat more controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) link cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

.Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the first graph ("Stratospheric Radiation") correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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To get an up close view of the heavenly bodies surrounding Earth, think about selling your junk car for cash and buying a high quality telescope.
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