 | | | SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts | | Updated at: 2026 Apr 19 2200 UTC FLARE | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | CLASS M | 05 % | 05 % | CLASS X | 01 % | 01 % | Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm Updated at: 2026 Apr 19 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 35 % | 30 % | MINOR | 10 % | 05 % | SEVERE | 01 % | 01 % | High latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 15 % | 15 % | MINOR | 30 % | 30 % | SEVERE | 45 % | 35 % | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | This is an AI Free Zone: AI is everywhere -- except here. Spaceweather.com is written by Dr. Tony Phillips, a carbon-based lifeform with 30 yrs of forecasting experience. If you find a mistake, rest assured it was made by a real human being. | | | CONTINUED CHANCE OF STORMS: Earth's magnetic field is still reverberating from a G2-class geomanetic storm on April 18th. The activity is subsiding, but slowly, so that minor G1-class storms are possible on April 19th. High-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras. Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter STARLINK IS NOT ALONE: Lately, we've been covering the growing problem of Starlink interference in astronomy photos. Pictures of comets often contain dozens of streaks. But Starlink is not alone, as shown in this picture taken by amateur astronomer Rainer Baule of Siegen, Germany:  "The image shows the Rosette Nebula (NGC 2237) in the constellation Monoceros with a prominent satellite flare crossing the field of view," says Baule. "The object was the US military satellite FIA Radar 4, which flies in an orbit of 1,107 km height. The maximum brightness was close to Venus with -4.5." Although the Starlink program has attracted attention for launching more than 10,000 satellites, they're not the only ones orbiting Earth. The population of other satellites has been growing, too. Satellites not named "Starlink" now total almost 5,000, bringing the grand total of all satellites to ~15,000. Who is second to Starlink? The biggest runner-up is China's Qianfan (also known as Thousand Sails), which was around 600+ satellites by late 2025 and climbing toward its planned 14,000+. Close behind is OneWeb (operated by Eutelsat), with 656 satellites as of February 2026. Ten years ago there were only about 1,400 active satellites--TOTAL. The current near-Earth environment is 10 times as busy and growing more crowded every day. What could go wrong? Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter MOTHER'S LOVE IRON SCULPTURE: Mother's Day is coming soon. Here's a gift she'll never forget: The Mother's Love Iron Sculpture. On Nov. 13, 2025, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched it to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon:  You can have it for $159.95. Handmade from iron, the sculpture depicts a mother embracing her daughter--in this case more than 100,000 feet above Earth. The gift-boxed figurine includes a unique keepsake card showing the sculpture at the top of Earth’s atmosphere. Inside, the card tells the story of the flight and certifies that this gift has been to the edge of space--and back again. Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store All sales support hands-on STEM education Realtime Comet Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com. On April 18, 2026, the network reported 4 fireballs. (4 sporadics) In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies] Potentially Hazardous Asteroids ( PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. On April 19, 2026 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.  | Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: | Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) | | 2026 GX1 | 2026-Apr-14 | 13.1 LD | 4.7 | 15 | | 2013 GM3 | 2026-Apr-14 | 0.7 LD | 7.4 | 20 | | 2026 HU | 2026-Apr-14 | 0.7 LD | 4.4 | 3 | | 2026 FX13 | 2026-Apr-14 | 7.1 LD | 11.8 | 29 | | 2026 GN2 | 2026-Apr-15 | 12.6 LD | 20.7 | 30 | | 2026 GS2 | 2026-Apr-15 | 4.7 LD | 9.1 | 15 | | 2026 HE1 | 2026-Apr-16 | 4.1 LD | 5.1 | 8 | | 2026 HB1 | 2026-Apr-16 | 12.1 LD | 6.1 | 13 | | 2026 GP2 | 2026-Apr-16 | 8.4 LD | 18.2 | 21 | | 2026 HY | 2026-Apr-16 | 3.5 LD | 12.4 | 11 | | 2026 GT | 2026-Apr-16 | 11.7 LD | 16 | 18 | | 2026 GA2 | 2026-Apr-16 | 3.6 LD | 10.5 | 14 | | 2026 GT2 | 2026-Apr-16 | 5.7 LD | 28.7 | 31 | | 2026 GQ2 | 2026-Apr-16 | 1 LD | 6.9 | 5 | | 2026 HE | 2026-Apr-17 | 11 LD | 6.8 | 20 | | 2026 GA1 | 2026-Apr-17 | 12.2 LD | 7.8 | 21 | | 2026 HP | 2026-Apr-17 | 3.5 LD | 7.4 | 15 | | 2026 HG | 2026-Apr-17 | 2.8 LD | 8 | 6 | | 2026 GO2 | 2026-Apr-17 | 17.8 LD | 20.5 | 48 | | 2026 GR2 | 2026-Apr-18 | 7.7 LD | 6.5 | 12 | | 2026 FJ6 | 2026-Apr-18 | 15.8 LD | 9.8 | 89 | | 2026 HQ | 2026-Apr-18 | 0.4 LD | 3.7 | 2 | | 2026 GM1 | 2026-Apr-18 | 3.5 LD | 5.6 | 29 | | 2026 HK1 | 2026-Apr-19 | 0.8 LD | 12 | 4 | | 2026 HD1 | 2026-Apr-19 | 12.1 LD | 18.4 | 25 | | 2026 HN | 2026-Apr-19 | 1.6 LD | 11.4 | 17 | | 2026 HH1 | 2026-Apr-19 | 1.8 LD | 19.2 | 8 | | 2026 HF1 | 2026-Apr-19 | 14 LD | 13.9 | 24 | | 2026 HJ | 2026-Apr-19 | 0.3 LD | 6.5 | 3 | | 2026 HF | 2026-Apr-20 | 9.8 LD | 5.5 | 34 | | 2026 HG1 | 2026-Apr-20 | 3.3 LD | 6 | 12 | | 2026 AC4 | 2026-Apr-20 | 10.7 LD | 1.2 | 22 | | 2022 UG2 | 2026-Apr-20 | 16.3 LD | 10.3 | 13 | | 2026 HJ1 | 2026-Apr-21 | 1.7 LD | 10.6 | 7 | | 2026 GJ1 | 2026-Apr-21 | 8.7 LD | 22.2 | 67 | | 2025 HQ4 | 2026-Apr-21 | 16.4 LD | 12.5 | 22 | | 2026 GZ1 | 2026-Apr-21 | 15.5 LD | 10.2 | 50 | | 2026 GL2 | 2026-Apr-22 | 7.1 LD | 10.4 | 32 | | 2026 BK2 | 2026-Apr-22 | 10 LD | 8.1 | 219 | | 2026 HK | 2026-Apr-22 | 10.8 LD | 18.7 | 26 | | 2022 UU8 | 2026-Apr-25 | 8.7 LD | 4 | 9 | | 2026 HR | 2026-Apr-27 | 16.6 LD | 7.6 | 21 | | 2026 GU1 | 2026-Apr-28 | 12.5 LD | 6.4 | 75 | | 2026 HW | 2026-Apr-28 | 9.6 LD | 11.8 | 35 | | 2026 GD1 | 2026-May-03 | 14.6 LD | 6.6 | 51 | | 2020 GE3 | 2026-May-09 | 11.1 LD | 6 | 21 | | 2023 VR5 | 2026-May-16 | 7.5 LD | 2.3 | 10 | | 2025 KR4 | 2026-May-18 | 15.2 LD | 5.9 | 22 | | 2023 KH4 | 2026-May-24 | 5.5 LD | 7.9 | 14 | | 2023 KZ1 | 2026-May-24 | 9 LD | 13.4 | 20 | | 2023 BM4 | 2026-May-30 | 12.2 LD | 5.7 | 64 | | 2021 KN2 | 2026-Jun-03 | 8.9 LD | 8.9 | 7 | | 2018 GE | 2026-Jun-07 | 16.4 LD | 3.1 | 11 | | 2016 VS | 2026-Jun-12 | 20 LD | 11.1 | 12 | | 530520 | 2026-Jun-12 | 16.1 LD | 14.6 | 152 | Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. | | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere | SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 10 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements. Latest results (Nov. 2024): Atmospheric radiation is sharply decreasing in 2024. Our latest measurements in November registered a 10-year low:  What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down. .Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners. Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today. | | The official U.S. government space weather bureau | | | The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. | | | Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. | | | 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory | | | Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. | | | information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary | | | current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics. | | | Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries | | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | | fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. | | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | | the underlying science of space weather |  | Got a chipped or cracked windshield that prevents you from seeing space weather events while driving? Get windshield replacement from SR Windows & Glass with free mobile auto glass service anywhere in the Phoenix area. | | | These links help Spaceweather.com stay online. Thank you to our supporters! | | | | | | | | |  | |  |  | ©2021 Spaceweather.com. All rights reserved. This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips. |