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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 466.6 km/sec
density: 3.28 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2
2022 UT Jan14
24-hr: C6
1527 UT Jan14
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 14 Jan 25
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
A new sunspot group is emerging at the circled location. Photo credit: NASA/SDO

Sunspot number: 100
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 14 Jan 2025

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 14 Jan 2025


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 25.07x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 14 Jan 2025

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 160 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 14 Jan 2025

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -6.2% Low
48-hr change: +0.4%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 12 Jan 2025 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3.33 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3.33
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 7.19 nT
Bz: -3.30 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 14 Jan 25

Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole could reach Earth on Jan. 18-19.
Credit: NASA/SDO | more data

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On Jan 14, 2025, the Arctic stratosphere is cold enough for Type II clouds. | more data.

Noctilucent Clouds
The southern season for noctilucent clouds (NLCs) is underway!. The first clouds were detected over Antarctica on Nov. 19, 2024. Here is the current NLC map from the NOAA 21 satellite.

noctilucent clouds
Updated: Jan. 09, 2025

An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). In the daily map, above, each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2025 Jan 14 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
35 %
35 %
CLASS X
05 %
05 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2025 Jan 14 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
15 %
MINOR
05 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
25 %
25 %
SEVERE
30 %
20 %
 
Tuesday, Jan. 14, 2025
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, but frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY IS LOW: It's probably temporary, but the sun has become quiet this week with only a smattering of C-class solar flares. The quiet is likely to continue. All of the sunspots currently facing Earth have stable magnetic fields unlikely to explode. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.

SUNSET COMET ALERT: We know three things about Comet ATLAS (C/2024 G3). It survived yesterday's close encounter with the sun. It brightened to magnitude -2.5. And it is now a photo-op in the sunset sky. "I was truly surprised to see it," says Erik Norlund of Alberone di Cento, Italy, who photographed the comet about 7 minutes after sunset on Jan. 14th:

"The comet looked very nice with my 200mm Newtonian telescope, with a small tail and a bright nucleus," adds Norlund. "Then I also saw it with a small binocular."

What will happen next? Nick James of the British Astronomical Association speculates: "If it follows predictions, the comet's magnitude will drop from around -2.5 now to possibly +3 or fainter in a week's time. It is quite difficult to predict how the comet will behave after its near-death encounter with the sun, so it may be a lot brighter or fainter than our predictions. We also don't really know how the currently spectacular tail will perform. The only way to find out is by observing it. That is what makes comets so much fun."

Many observers are now submitting photos of Comet ATLAS in the sunset sky. Browse the links below for photo settings and anecdotes.

more images: from Petr Horálek of Tiszacsermely, Hungary; from Mike Androsch of Oberneukirchen, Upper Austria, Europe; from Sven Melchert of Stuttgart, Germany; from Karl Kaiser of Aigen-Schlägl, Bohemian Forest, Upper Austria; from Andreas Walker of Zetzwil, Switzerland, Europe;

Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

LUNAR OCCULTATION OF MARS: Last night, Jan. 13th, the Full Moon passed directly in front of Mars. Selín Alejandro Gonzalez caught the Red Planet half-in and half-out over Toluca, Mexico:

"Mars was partially hidden and then emerged in a very spectacular way," says Gonzalez. "Even though some clouds were passing over, the excitement of witnessing this astronomical event was at its best. In the photo, we can see clearly the contrast between the glowing lunar surface and the faint reddish disk of Mars."

The occultation was widely visible across North America, and many photographers are submitting images. See them all in the Realtime Lunar Occultation Photo Gallery:

Realtime Lunar Occultation Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

"ALWAYS AND FOREVER" RUBY HEART PENDANT: Are you looking for a far out Valentine's Day gift? Consider the Always and Forever Space Pendent. The students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched it to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon:

You can have it for $219.95. Engraved with the words "I love you always and forever", this sterling silver pendant has a heart-shaped ruby crystal in the middle surrouunded by a ring of glittering 5A cubic zirconia nuggets. It is a visually striking necklace perfect for Valentine's Day, anniversaries, or romantic birthdays. 

The students are selling space pendants to pay the helium bill for their cosmic ray ballooning program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the jewelry in flight and telling the story of its trip to the stratosphere and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education

A COMET IN BROAD DAYLIGHT: Astronomer Petr Horálek was crouching behind his car yesterday when he took this picture. It shows Comet ATLAS (C/2024 G3) high above the clouds of Pribylina, Slovakia, shining brightly enough to photograph in broad daylight:

"I drove 300 km to find a place with clear skies," says Horálek. "By the time I parked at 1 pm, the sun and the comet were high in the sky. I hid my camera, its mount, and myself in the shadow of my car so the sun was not shining into the optics. Then I took 72 single short exposures, which I stacked into one image and processed. Voilà--the comet popped out!"

At the time of Horálek's photo, Comet ATLAS was making a close approach to the sun (0.09 AU) deep inside the orbit of Mercury. It survived the heat of the sun at point-blank range, setting the stage for a lot of rare blue-sky images.

more images: from Chris Schur of Payson, Arizona; from Greg Hogan of Georgia, USA; from Marko Posavec of Koprivnica, Croatia; from Richard Nugent of Framingham, Massachusetts, USA; from Shahrin Ahmad of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia;

Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jan 14, 2025, the network reported 12 fireballs.
(12 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On January 14, 2025 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2024 PT5
2025-Jan-09
4.7 LD
1
12
2024 YD13
2025-Jan-09
14.6 LD
7.3
24
2025 AU3
2025-Jan-09
8.3 LD
19.5
30
2023 OS3
2025-Jan-09
19.9 LD
3.1
10
2024 YW9
2025-Jan-09
2.7 LD
7.8
20
2008 AU28
2025-Jan-09
12.6 LD
10.8
39
2024 YD5
2025-Jan-10
15.1 LD
7.2
20
2012 UK171
2025-Jan-11
10.7 LD
6.4
46
2025 AV2
2025-Jan-11
7.8 LD
16.9
21
2025 AZ3
2025-Jan-11
0.6 LD
8.2
23
2025 AF1
2025-Jan-11
4.7 LD
4.9
10
2024 YZ12
2025-Jan-12
3.2 LD
8.5
17
2025 AK3
2025-Jan-12
13.4 LD
7.5
21
2022 EE6
2025-Jan-13
15.5 LD
8.7
45
2025 AX2
2025-Jan-13
8.2 LD
10.4
15
2005 YU128
2025-Jan-14
19.1 LD
7
31
2025 AS
2025-Jan-14
16.1 LD
9.2
46
2024 YX5
2025-Jan-14
11.7 LD
10.6
25
2023 OS
2025-Jan-15
16.5 LD
10.9
48
2022 CE2
2025-Jan-16
11.1 LD
13.3
120
2024 YF2
2025-Jan-17
4.4 LD
4.4
17
2025 AO2
2025-Jan-17
2 LD
10.3
19
2025 AF
2025-Jan-17
19.8 LD
8.8
35
2022 OB5
2025-Jan-18
8.9 LD
1.4
6
2024 YB10
2025-Jan-18
15.1 LD
2.5
16
2024 WY70
2025-Jan-18
16.5 LD
10.2
261
2024 YQ5
2025-Jan-19
17.6 LD
5
29
2025 AY2
2025-Jan-20
17.7 LD
23.3
71
2024 YY5
2025-Jan-26
12.5 LD
2.4
14
2022 BX6
2025-Jan-28
19.7 LD
14.3
24
2015 DJ155
2025-Jan-31
18.6 LD
9.2
56
2018 RE3
2025-Feb-03
15.5 LD
11.1
12
2022 AV4
2025-Feb-03
16.9 LD
3.4
25
2002 CC14
2025-Feb-04
8.4 LD
12.7
39
2016 CO248
2025-Feb-07
13.5 LD
5.9
11
2020 GZ2
2025-Feb-07
17.7 LD
8.9
9
2022 PK1
2025-Feb-07
15 LD
11
33
2012 PB20
2025-Feb-09
3.5 LD
4.3
37
2004 XG
2025-Feb-16
15.6 LD
9.1
54
2024 UD26
2025-Feb-16
16.8 LD
9.3
250
2014 CE13
2025-Feb-18
15.2 LD
18.4
55
2022 DG2
2025-Feb-19
11.5 LD
10.4
7
2016 AX165
2025-Feb-20
14.9 LD
9.2
89
2015 BK509
2025-Feb-25
9.4 LD
14.6
119
2023 RW3
2025-Feb-25
7.4 LD
5.1
18
535844
2025-Mar-05
9.6 LD
7.9
149
2021 EU3
2025-Mar-10
10.7 LD
4.4
13
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 10 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (Nov. 2024): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2024. Our latest measurements in November registered a 10-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics.
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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T CrB NOVA WATCH
today: m=9.9 (Jan 14.7)
yesterday: m=10.0

more: AAVSO data

Explanation: When the nova explodes, the visual magnitude of the star (m) will jump from +10 (invisible to the naked eye) to +2 (about as bright as the North Star).



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