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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

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Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind

speed: 343.3 km/s
density:
0.9 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2254 UT

X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
B1 1930 UT Sep26
24-hr: B1 1605 UT Sep26
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 24 Sep '04
Sunspot 673 does not pose a threat for strong solar flares. Image credit: Big Bear Solar Observatory.

NOTE: SOHO (the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory) is passing through a telemetry keyhole. Daily Sun and other images from SOHO will return to Spaceweather.com when the spacecraft emerges from the keyhole on October 1st.

Sunspot Number: 24
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 25 Sep 2004

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.1 nT
Bz:
0.2 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2255 UT

Coronal Holes:

A solar wind stream flowing from this loosely-organized coronal hole could reach Earth on or about Sept. 28th. Image credit: NOAA's Solar X-ray Imager (SXI)


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2004 Sep 26 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 01 % 01 %
CLASS X 01 % 01 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2004 Sep 26 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 20 % 20 %
MINOR 15 % 15 %
SEVERE 05 % 05 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 20 % 20 %
MINOR 15 % 15 %
SEVERE 05 % 05 %

What's Up in Space -- 26 Sep 2004
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QUIET WEEKEND: Solar activity remains low this weekend, which means bright auroras are unlikely in most areas.

AURORA SEASON: Northern autumn has begun, and that means it's aurora season. Strange but true: there are more geomagnetic storms around the autumnal equinox than any other time of the year. The first auroras of autumn 2004 appeared on Sept. 22nd over Yellowknife in the Northwest Territories of Canada:

"This storm happened as we were here at the mine shaft taking photos. It was great and lit up the sky all around us!" says photographer Andrew Eaton. [gallery]

ASTEROID FLYBY: Asteroid 4179 Toutatis is flying past Earth this week. There's no danger of a collision, but the weirdly tumbling 2-by-5 km space rock will be close enough (4 times the Earth-Moon distance on Sept. 29th) and bright enough (9th magnitude) to see through backyard telescopes.

The trick is finding it. Toutatis moves quickly among the stars and its position varies depending on the location of your backyard--a result of strong parallax. Sky & Telescope has published a set of finder charts for selected cities worldwide. There's also an online ephemeris from JPL for advanced observers.

During previous near-Earth flybys, astronomers pinged the space rock using NASA's Goldstone and Arecibo radars. They pinpointed Toutatis' orbit, showing that it poses no danger to Earth for centuries at least, and they mapped Toutatis' bizarre surface. Radar observations again this year aim to measure Toutatis' Yarkovsky acceleration.

MT. FUJI: "Experiencing sunrise atop Mt. Fuji is wonderful enough, but for a truly mind-boggling experience you're required to turn around and look the other way. From the summit, the shadow of the 12,379-foot mountain lances out toward the distant horizon," writes Brian Whittaker, who took this picture on July 16th:

Atmospheric optics expert Les Cowley comments: "The familiar shadows we see on walls or the ground are two-dimensional. This one is different. It is three-dimensional, a column of dark air stretching a hundred miles or more away from the mountain. Why does the shadowed air look triangular? Because Mt. Fuji has that shape? Untrue, nearly all mountains have triangular shadows regardless of their profile!"



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 26 Sep 2004 there were 618 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

Sept. 2004 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 MISS DISTANCE

 MAG.
2003 UX34

Sept. 9

22 LD

 18
2004 JA27

Sept. 10

23 LD

 19
1998 OX4

Sept. 14

25 LD

 18
Toutatis

Sept. 29

4 LD

 9
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. See also Snow Crystals.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Solar X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

SOHO Farside Images of the Sun from SWAN and MDI.

The Latest SOHO Coronagraph Images -- from the Naval Research Lab

The Sun from Earth -- daily images of our star from the Big Bear Solar Observatory

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Aurora Forecast --from the University of Alaska's Geophysical Institute

Daily Solar Flare and Sunspot Data -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

What is an Iridium flare? See also Photographing Satellites by Brian Webb.

Vandenberg AFB missile launch schedule.

What is an Astronomical Unit, or AU?

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2003; Jan-Mar., 2004;

Space Audio Streams: (University of Florida) 20 MHz radio emissions from Jupiter: #1, #2, #3, #4; (NASA/Marshall) INSPIRE: #1; (Stan Nelson of Roswell, New Mexico) meteor radar: #1, #2;

Recent International Astronomical Union Circulars

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

Editor's Note: This site is sponsored by Science@NASA. Space weather and other forecasts that appear here are formulated by Dr. Tony Phillips. They are not guarantees of space weather or other celestial activity.

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