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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

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Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind
speed: 709.0 km/s
density:
2.3 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2255 UT

X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
B6 1915 UT Jan02
24-hr: C2 0505 UT Jan02
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 02 Jan '05

Sunspot 715 has decayed since it unleashed an X-class solar flare on January 1st. It now poses a threat for lesser M-class flares. Credit: SOHO/MDI


Sunspot Number: 51
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 01 Jan 2005

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 10.5 nT
Bz:
6.7 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2256 UT

Coronal Holes:

A solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole could strike Earth's magnetic field on January 4th. Image credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2005 Jan 02 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 30 % 25 %
CLASS X 05 % 05 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2005 Jan 02 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 50 % 35 %
MINOR 25 % 15 %
SEVERE 10 % 05 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 50 % 40 %
MINOR 30 % 20 %
SEVERE 20 % 10 %

What's Up in Space -- 2 Jan 2005
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X-FLARE: The New Year began with a bang. A powerful X2-class solar flare erupted near sunspot 715 at 40 minutes past midnight GMT on Jan. 1st. The explosion might have hurled a coronal mass ejection (CME) toward Earth. If it did, the CME would reach our planet on Jan. 2nd or 3rd and possibly spark auroras.

METEOR SHOWER: The annual Quadrantid meteor shower peaks on Monday morning, January 3rd, at 4:20 am PST (12:20 GMT). Observers in western parts of North America are favored. During the hours before dawn they might see dozens to hundreds of shooting stars. [sky map]

Right: A Quadrantid meteor, Jan. 3, 2003. Credit: Frankie Lucena of Cabo Rojo, Puerto Rico.

GREEN COMET: Comet Machholz (C/2004 Q2) is approaching Earth and gliding through the constellation Taurus. It's easy to find. Go outside and look south between 9 and 10 PM: sky map. To the unaided eye, it looks like a faint and fuzzy green star. Through a small telescope, you can see the comet's two tails:


Comet Machholz on Jan. 1st. Credit:
Paolo Candy of the Cimini Astronomical Observatory, Italy

The long wispy filament on one side of the comet is its gas tail (also known as the ion tail). The stubby jet about 120o away is its dust tail. Comets have two tails because they're made of two things: ice and dust. Sunlight vaporizes the dirty ice, spewing gas and dust into space. The gas is pushed straight away from the sun by the solar wind. The weightier dust resists solar wind pressure and simply lingers behind the comet, tracing its orbit--hence the two tails.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 2 Jan 2005 there were 654 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

Nov.-Dec. 2004 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 MISS DISTANCE

 MAG.
2004 TP1

Nov. 2

13 LD

 15
2004 UE

Nov. 9

10 LD

 15
2004 RZ164

Dec. 8

7 LD

 12
2004 VW14

Dec. 24

5 LD

 13
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. See also Snow Crystals.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Solar X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

SOHO Farside Images of the Sun from SWAN and MDI.

The Latest SOHO Coronagraph Images -- from the Naval Research Lab

The Sun from Earth -- daily images of our star from the Big Bear Solar Observatory

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Aurora Forecast --from the University of Alaska's Geophysical Institute

Daily Solar Flare and Sunspot Data -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

What is an Iridium flare? See also Photographing Satellites by Brian Webb.

Vandenberg AFB missile launch schedule.

What is an Astronomical Unit, or AU?

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2003; Jan-Mar., 2004;

Space Audio Streams: (University of Florida) 20 MHz radio emissions from Jupiter: #1, #2, #3, #4; (NASA/Marshall) INSPIRE: #1; (Stan Nelson of Roswell, New Mexico) meteor radar: #1, #2;

Recent International Astronomical Union Circulars

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips: email

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