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A GEOMAGNETIC STORM IS BREWING: NOAA has issued a G1-class geomagnetic storm warning for the hours ahead. Data from NASA's DISCOVR spacecraft suggest that a crack is opening in Earth's magnetic field, allowing solar wind to pour into the magnetosphere. This could trigger geomagnetic unrest around the poles and fuel a display of Arctic auroras on Aug. 24-25. Free: Aurora Alerts.
RAPIDLY GROWING SUNSPOT: Two days ago, sunspot AR2720 didn't exist. Now it sprawls across the more than 75,000 km of the sun's surface and has two dark cores as wide as Earth. Thierry Legault photographed the growing sunspot group on Aug. 25th from the Saint-VĂ©ran/Astroqueyras observatory in the French Alps:
"Sunspot AR2720 has metamorphosed since yesterday and it is now as large as the Earth!" says Legault. "I photographed the region using a Celestron C14 EdgeHD telescope and an Astrosolar filter."
The magnetic canopy of AR2720 is crackling with B-class solar flares--minor explosions hardly befitting a sunspot of its size. This is what we expect during solar minimum when even large sunspots tend to be quiet. Quiescence is not, however, an absolute rule. Less than one year ago, another "solar minimum sunspot" about the size of this one unleashed an X-class solar flare and produced a radiation storm so strong that energetic particles reached the surface of the Earth. Travel back in time using the Spaceweather Time Machine to review what happened: Sept. 10; Sept. 11, Sept. 12, 2017. These events make AR2720 worth monitoring.
Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION UPDATE: Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus are in the middle of a cosmic ray ballooning campaign, visiting places we've been before to update our measurements of atmospheric radiation across the USA. On August 16th through 21st, we launched a series of balloons to the stratosphere from Bishop, CA; John Day, OR; and Wenatchee, WA. We found radiation levels increasing up and down the Pacific Coast. The latest data points are circled red:
Why is cosmic radiation increasing? Mainly, it's due to the solar cycle. As the sun plunges into a deep solar minimum, the sun's magnetic field is weakening. Solar wind pressures are declining as well. As a result of these changes, cosmic rays from deep space are finding it easier to penetrate the inner solar system. Surging cosmic rays hit the top of Earth's atmosphere, creating a downward spray of secondary particles and radiation that we detect using sensors on high-altitude balloons.
Our recent balloon launches from multiple US states as well as Sweden, Norway, Chile, Mexico and New Zealand confirm that cosmic rays are intensifying everywhere, but not by the same amount in all places. For instance, in the latest data we see that atmospheric radiation above Washington is almost 50% stronger than radiation above central California--a significant difference considering that the two launch sites are separated by only ~900 miles and 10 degrees of latitude. This shows that Earth's magnetic field is an uneven shield against incoming cosmic rays, protecting some places more than others.
Next week we'll be launching a cosmic ray balloon from Kansas and, soon thereafter, from Maine to extend our monitoring across the continental USA. Stay tuned.
FAR OUT OPTICS EXPERIMENT: Last week, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus flew a cosmic ray balloon to the stratosphere. A crystal globe went along for the ride. The young scientists wanted to see what Earth looked like when viewed through the spherical lens ... of Earth. Answer: very cool. Play the video to see for yourself:
You can have this globe for $169.95. The students are selling them to support their high-altitude balloon program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the crystal sphere in flight and telling the story of its journey to the edge of space. All sales support the Earth to Sky Calculus cosmic ray ballooning program and hands-on STEM research.
Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education
Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Every night, a network of
NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.
On Aug. 25, 2018, the network reported 8 fireballs.
(8 sporadics)
In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (
PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding
new ones all the time.
On August 25, 2018 there were 1912 potentially hazardous asteroids.
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Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) |
2018 QE | 2018-Aug-20 | 2.8 LD | 4.5 | 10 |
2018 QA1 | 2018-Aug-21 | 12.3 LD | 11.2 | 77 |
2018 PK9 | 2018-Aug-22 | 17 LD | 9 | 33 |
2018 PW7 | 2018-Aug-23 | 11.3 LD | 10.6 | 49 |
2018 QF1 | 2018-Aug-23 | 18.1 LD | 14.3 | 75 |
2018 PU23 | 2018-Aug-23 | 7.8 LD | 1.5 | 8 |
2018 PR9 | 2018-Aug-24 | 18.1 LD | 14 | 46 |
2018 QH1 | 2018-Aug-27 | 13.2 LD | 12.5 | 27 |
2018 LQ2 | 2018-Aug-27 | 9.4 LD | 1.5 | 39 |
2016 GK135 | 2018-Aug-28 | 16.8 LD | 2.8 | 9 |
2016 NF23 | 2018-Aug-29 | 13.2 LD | 9 | 93 |
1998 SD9 | 2018-Aug-29 | 4.2 LD | 10.7 | 51 |
2018 DE1 | 2018-Aug-30 | 15.2 LD | 6.5 | 28 |
2001 RQ17 | 2018-Sep-02 | 19.3 LD | 8.3 | 107 |
2015 FP118 | 2018-Sep-03 | 12.3 LD | 9.8 | 490 |
2018 QA | 2018-Sep-03 | 17.5 LD | 20.4 | 73 |
2017 SL16 | 2018-Sep-20 | 8.5 LD | 6.4 | 25 |
2018 EB | 2018-Oct-07 | 15.5 LD | 15.1 | 155 |
2014 US7 | 2018-Oct-17 | 3.2 LD | 8.7 | 19 |
2013 UG1 | 2018-Oct-18 | 10.4 LD | 13.4 | 123 |
2016 GC221 | 2018-Oct-18 | 8.7 LD | 14.4 | 39 |
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach. | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere |
SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Approximately once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 18% since 2015:
The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Reneger-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.
En route to the stratosphere, our sensors also pass through aviation altitudes:
In this plot, dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x.
The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.
Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth's magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.
| The official U.S. government space weather bureau |
| The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. |
| Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. |
| 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory |
| Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. |
| from the NOAA Space Environment Center |
| fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. |
| from the NOAA Space Environment Center |
| the underlying science of space weather |
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