Solar wind
speed: 680.6 km/sec
density: 1.50 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0112 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: M1
2325 UT Oct11
24-hr: M2
1632 UT Oct11
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 0115 UT
Daily Sun: 11 Oct 24
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Sunspot AR3848 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. This sunspot is directly facing Earth. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 150
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 11 Oct 2024

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 11 Oct 2024


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 33.61x1010 W Hot
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 10 Oct 2024

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 216 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 11 Oct 2024

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -12.7% Low
48-hr change: -2.5%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 11 Oct 2024 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3.33 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 8.00
severe
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 9.63 nT
Bz: 8.46 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0111 UT
Coronal Holes: 11 Oct 24

There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On Oct. 11, 2024, the Arctic stratosphere is much too warm for Type II polar stratospheric clouds. | more data.

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs is underway--but not for long. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle on May 25, 2024, by the NOAA 21 satellite. After peaking in July, the clouds are now in rapid decline. This is typical for the month of August, which usually brings the end of NLC season in the northern hemisphere.

noctilucent clouds
Updated: Aug. 28, 2024

An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). In the daily map, above, each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2024 Oct 11 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
60 %
60 %
CLASS X
25 %
25 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2024 Oct 11 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
35 %
30 %
MINOR
30 %
05 %
SEVERE
15 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
05 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
30 %
SEVERE
70 %
35 %
 
Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

THE STORM IS OVER: Last night's severe (G4) geomagnetic storm is over. Earth is exiting the wake of the CME that caused it. This doesn't mean that geomagnetic activity is completely extinguished. Minor (G1) to Moderate (G2) storms remain possible on Oct. 11th as Earth's magnetic field slowly relaxes from one of the biggest geomagnetic disturbances of the past 20 years. Did you miss the light show? Next time get an aurora alert!

RARELOW LATITUDE AURORAS: Northern Lights in Mexico? Believe it. On the night of Oct. 10-11, auroras descended all the way to the tropics. René Saade photographed the display from the beach at Mazatlan, Sinaloa:

"We are at 23 degrees north latitude," says Saade. "We also saw auroras during the May 10th superstorm. Seeing auroras this far south twice in a year is amazing!!"

Another notable low-latitude sighting comes from Priscilla Coote in Key West (+24.7 N). "How often do you see auroras and coconut palms in the same photo?" she wonders. Also, the Sociedad de Astronomía del Caribe is reporting auroras photographed from Toa Baja, Puerto Rico (+18.4 N), and from a cruiseship just south of Cuba (~21 N).

These remarkably low latitude sightings highlight the rarity of the Oct. 10-11, 2024, geomagnetic storm. Such a display has occured only a handful of times in the 21st century. Fantastic pictures are pouring into our gallery from around the world. Take a look!

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

EVENING COMET ALERT: This week, Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS passed between Earth and the sun. It is now emerging from the glare as a bright evening comet. Petr Horálek photographed it today from Tulcik, Slovakia:

"From today on, the comet should start to be easier to observe despite the moonlight," says Horálek. "It will most likely bring spectacular cometary views within a week. I took this shot about 45 minutes after sunset. The comet was easily observable through the 7x50 binoculars even only 2.5 degrees above the horizon."

Prospects for observing this evening comet are nicely discussed in an article from Nick James of the British Astronomical Association: Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS looking good for October.

more images: from Toni Scarmato of San Costantino di Briatico, Calabria, Italy; from Michael Jaeger of Nöchling, Austria; from Paolo Palma of Rome, Italy;

Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

"HAND OF APOLLO" STAR TREK CHRISTMAS ORNAMENT: You can't buy this on Amazon. The Hand of Apollo Christmas Ornament is only available from the Earth to Sky Store. On Aug. 15, 2024, it flew to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon:

You can have it for $127.95. This ornament depicts the iconic opening scene from original Star Trek series episode "Who Mourns for Adonais?" first aired in 1967. Near the planet Pollux III, the Enterprise was held immobile by an energy field shaped as a human hand. It belonged to a being claiming to be the Greek god Apollo. This will look far out on your Christmas tree this December.

The students of Earth to Sky Calculus are selling space ornaments to support their cosmic ray ballooning program. Don't wait for Christmas--get yours now!

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On 0ct 10, 2024, the network reported 17 fireballs.
(16 sporadics, 1 southern Taurid)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On October 12, 2024 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2022 SU21
2024-Oct-06
17.5 LD
21.1
45
2024 TD
2024-Oct-06
9.7 LD
10.9
15
2024 TL2
2024-Oct-06
0.3 LD
9.1
3
2024 SD6
2024-Oct-06
4.8 LD
6.8
11
2022 FC5
2024-Oct-06
16.2 LD
19.3
38
2024 TR4
2024-Oct-07
0.3 LD
15.1
15
671076
2024-Oct-07
12.8 LD
8.6
120
2024 SU3
2024-Oct-07
5.6 LD
9
21
2024 TQ9
2024-Oct-07
0.3 LD
7.5
3
2024 TY
2024-Oct-07
1.8 LD
15.2
22
2024 SF5
2024-Oct-07
15.3 LD
4.8
36
2024 TX6
2024-Oct-07
0.3 LD
11
7
2024 TO6
2024-Oct-07
1.5 LD
17.6
13
2024 TW2
2024-Oct-07
0.8 LD
16.9
7
2024 TK7
2024-Oct-07
18.9 LD
8.9
52
2024 TT3
2024-Oct-07
16.8 LD
6.9
12
2024 TV8
2024-Oct-08
1.4 LD
12.7
19
2024 SN8
2024-Oct-08
3.2 LD
14
23
2024 TR9
2024-Oct-08
14.5 LD
7.2
17
2016 JG38
2024-Oct-08
13.2 LD
12
57
2024 TP8
2024-Oct-08
13.4 LD
5.7
17
2024 TK5
2024-Oct-09
0.6 LD
9.1
10
2024 TN5
2024-Oct-09
5.1 LD
7.2
9
2018 QE
2024-Oct-09
1.7 LD
4.4
10
2024 TK3
2024-Oct-09
9.9 LD
11.7
18
2024 TD3
2024-Oct-09
9.7 LD
9.3
33
2024 TZ7
2024-Oct-09
4.7 LD
6.7
8
2024 TJ2
2024-Oct-09
5 LD
11.2
14
2024 TK2
2024-Oct-09
2.8 LD
14.6
32
2024 SM
2024-Oct-10
7.4 LD
6.7
29
2024 TN2
2024-Oct-10
10.5 LD
22.2
31
2024 TW1
2024-Oct-10
12.3 LD
10.2
25
2024 TR2
2024-Oct-11
13.4 LD
11.2
27
2024 TW8
2024-Oct-11
2.7 LD
13.3
14
2024 TA3
2024-Oct-11
12.5 LD
7.3
16
2024 TU1
2024-Oct-11
6 LD
8.4
22
2024 TG5
2024-Oct-11
1.5 LD
7.8
11
363027
2024-Oct-12
9.3 LD
16.6
431
2024 TU2
2024-Oct-12
16.2 LD
5.1
15
2024 TB7
2024-Oct-12
1.3 LD
8
5
2020 GE1
2024-Oct-12
20.1 LD
4.3
14
2024 TC2
2024-Oct-12
6.4 LD
7.8
17
2022 UX1
2024-Oct-12
19.9 LD
9.9
9
2008 UU95
2024-Oct-12
13.5 LD
15.6
66
2024 TO5
2024-Oct-12
17.5 LD
11.7
20
2024 TM2
2024-Oct-12
3.6 LD
5.7
8
2024 TX5
2024-Oct-13
11.9 LD
6.5
18
2024 TA7
2024-Oct-13
1.4 LD
8.6
13
2024 SM4
2024-Oct-13
18.9 LD
13.8
56
2021 TK11
2024-Oct-14
8 LD
10.6
7
2024 TH3
2024-Oct-14
12 LD
7
17
2024 TO4
2024-Oct-15
4.6 LD
6.1
14
2024 TO9
2024-Oct-15
8.7 LD
8.3
17
2022 TB41
2024-Oct-15
10 LD
6
4
2024 SD2
2024-Oct-17
10.1 LD
6.1
26
2019 UH14
2024-Oct-17
8.3 LD
10.4
62
2024 RV50
2024-Oct-18
19.4 LD
15.6
227
2024 SH1
2024-Oct-20
6.4 LD
2.7
15
2024 SE4
2024-Oct-22
6.9 LD
2.2
10
2015 HM1
2024-Oct-24
14.4 LD
10.9
32
2024 TR6
2024-Oct-24
14.8 LD
15.2
48
363305
2024-Oct-24
11.8 LD
4.9
186
2021 UE2
2024-Oct-24
13.6 LD
7.1
40
2023 TG14
2024-Oct-24
6.6 LD
6.9
24
2024 TB2
2024-Oct-26
3.1 LD
2.9
35
2007 UT3
2024-Oct-26
17.7 LD
10.4
23
2024 SE26
2024-Oct-28
9.8 LD
12.6
106
2020 WG
2024-Oct-28
8.7 LD
9.4
160
2024 SU13
2024-Oct-29
10.9 LD
6
32
2021 CV1
2024-Oct-30
14.4 LD
23.6
38
2023 KX3
2024-Oct-31
18.8 LD
2.4
25
2022 UD21
2024-Oct-31
11.4 LD
11.8
27
2016 VA
2024-Nov-01
1.5 LD
21.2
11
2023 VS
2024-Nov-04
15.2 LD
4.3
4
2022 JM
2024-Nov-06
19.7 LD
6.2
6
2019 WB7
2024-Nov-11
17.3 LD
5.7
43
2020 UL3
2024-Nov-12
4.1 LD
10.5
80
2020 AB2
2024-Nov-13
18.9 LD
7.2
14
2019 VU5
2024-Nov-14
12 LD
23.3
46
2019 VL5
2024-Nov-14
9.6 LD
8.5
24
2023 WK3
2024-Nov-18
16.1 LD
14.5
272
2012 KO11
2024-Nov-20
6.2 LD
9.4
43
2020 VX4
2024-Nov-20
10.5 LD
10.5
11
2009 WB105
2024-Nov-25
15.1 LD
18.9
71
2006 WB
2024-Nov-26
2.3 LD
4.2
98
2018 DC4
2024-Nov-29
18.8 LD
4.5
12
2019 JN2
2024-Nov-30
9.4 LD
7.7
25
2021 XZ
2024-Dec-02
13.2 LD
7.4
8
447755
2024-Dec-03
14.4 LD
12.2
402
2020 XR
2024-Dec-04
5.8 LD
12.3
388
2021 WA5
2024-Dec-05
9.8 LD
5.9
12
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics.
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

Spaceweather.com welcomes these supporters of science communication: RV Sales and Arizona Web Design & SEO and Dentist in Phoenix, AZand Plan B Facility Services | Pest Control in PhoenixHVAC repair in South Jersey 

To get the best views of the cosmos, check out the Phoenix Window Glass Replacement experts for all your window and glass needs

Got a chipped or cracked windshield that prevents you from seeing space weather events while driving? Get windshield replacement from SR Windows & Glass with free mobile auto glass service anywhere in the Phoenix area.
NASA Near Earth Asteroid Home Page

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T CrB NOVA WATCH
today: m=10.1 (Oct 11.7)
yesterday: m=10.1

more: AAVSO data

Explanation: When the nova explodes, the visual magnitude of the star (m) will jump from +10 (invisible to the naked eye) to +2 (about as bright as the North Star).



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