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SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts |
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Updated at: 2026 May 19 2200 UTC
FLARE |
0-24
hr |
24-48
hr |
CLASS M |
20
% |
20
% |
CLASS X |
05
% |
05
% |
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant
disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor
storm, severe
storm
Updated at: 2026 May 19 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
|
0-24
hr |
24-48
hr |
ACTIVE |
15
% |
20
% |
MINOR |
01
% |
05
% |
SEVERE |
01
% |
01
% |
High latitudes
|
0-24
hr |
24-48
hr |
ACTIVE |
20
% |
20
% |
MINOR |
25
% |
35
% |
SEVERE |
20
% |
25
% |
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
| |
|
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| |
This is an AI Free Zone: AI is everywhere -- except here. Spaceweather.com is written by Dr. Tony Phillips, a carbon-based lifeform with 30 yrs of forecasting experience. If you find a mistake, rest assured it was made by a real human being.
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HELIOSEISMIC ECHOES FROM THE FARSIDE: Sunspots on the farside of the sun are so large, they are affecting the way the sun vibrates. Helioseismic maps reveal three dark echoes where large sunspots are hidden behind the solar limb. The sun's rotation will turn the nearest toward Earth beginning May 22nd. Stay tuned for an uptick in solar activity. Solar Flare alerts: SMS Text.
1 MOON, 2 PLANETS, AND 24 STARLINK SATELLITES: Last night, Jupiter, the crescent Moon, and Venus lined up in the twilight sky. In Carlsbad, California, Behyar Bakhshandeh was outside watching when a Falcon 9 rocket blasted off from the Vandenberg Space Force Base:
"The planets aligned directly above the Falcon 9 rocket trail," says Bakhshandeh.
The rocket carried 24 Starlink satellites to orbit, bringing the total in orbit to 10,394. The Starlink megaconstellation dwarfs the next runner-up, OneWeb, which has "only" 650 satellites. Amazon's Leo constellation is third with 300.
The new Starlinks are second-genertion satellites, twice as massive as the original Starlinks (750 kg vs 306 kg). They have four times the bandwidth of older models and can, in some cases, communicate directly with cellphones on Earth. They're a big improvement in every way--except astronomy.
more images: from Paul D. Maley of Carefree, Arizona; from Marek Nikodem of Szubin, Poland
Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter
"I NEED MY SPACE" SNOOPY CUP: Do you know someone who "needs their space?" They're going to love this Snoopy cup. It flew to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon, floating more than 105,315 feet above Earth's surface:
You can have it for $129.95. It's Peanuts for a cup from space! The students are selling Snoopy cups to support their cosmic ray monitoring program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the cup in flight and telling the story of its trip to the stratosphere and back again.
Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education
Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter
Every night, a network
of NASA
all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United
States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software
maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office
calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth
in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics.
Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.
On May 19, 2026, the network reported 6 fireballs.
(5 sporadics, 1 eta Aquariids)
In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue).
[Larger image] [movies]
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids ( PHAs)
are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that
can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the
known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet,
although astronomers are finding new
ones all the time.
On May 20, 2026 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
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Recent
& Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
| Asteroid |
Date(UT) |
Miss Distance |
Velocity (km/s) |
Diameter (m) |
| 2026 JF5 |
2026-May-14 |
0.3 LD |
8.9 |
2 |
| 2026 JT |
2026-May-14 |
17.1 LD |
9.7 |
19 |
| 2026 JV1 |
2026-May-14 |
7 LD |
9.4 |
24 |
| 2026 JR4 |
2026-May-14 |
4.6 LD |
7 |
9 |
| 2026 JV3 |
2026-May-14 |
0.1 LD |
12.7 |
3 |
| 2026 JH1 |
2026-May-15 |
15.5 LD |
13.4 |
30 |
| 2026 JQ3 |
2026-May-15 |
2.2 LD |
7.8 |
13 |
| 2026 JN4 |
2026-May-15 |
0 LD |
23.2 |
1 |
| 2026 JK2 |
2026-May-15 |
1.2 LD |
20.5 |
26 |
| 2026 JO4 |
2026-May-15 |
11.6 LD |
15.5 |
21 |
| 2026 KG |
2026-May-15 |
2.8 LD |
7.1 |
6 |
| 2026 JU |
2026-May-16 |
5.2 LD |
8.4 |
23 |
| 2026 JF4 |
2026-May-16 |
4.1 LD |
9.8 |
8 |
| 2023 VR5 |
2026-May-16 |
7.5 LD |
2.3 |
10 |
| 2026 KD |
2026-May-17 |
0.3 LD |
12.2 |
6 |
| 2026 JY2 |
2026-May-17 |
8.3 LD |
13.8 |
19 |
| 2026 JB4 |
2026-May-17 |
9.5 LD |
6.7 |
14 |
| 2026 KA |
2026-May-17 |
1.3 LD |
15.6 |
19 |
| 2026 HC5 |
2026-May-17 |
7.1 LD |
6.7 |
22 |
| 2025 KR4 |
2026-May-18 |
15.2 LD |
5.9 |
22 |
| 2026 JP3 |
2026-May-18 |
17.7 LD |
16.5 |
39 |
| 2026 KB |
2026-May-18 |
0.6 LD |
9.6 |
12 |
| 2026 JH2 |
2026-May-18 |
0.2 LD |
9.1 |
19 |
| 2026 KC |
2026-May-19 |
3.5 LD |
8.4 |
13 |
| 2026 JP1 |
2026-May-20 |
17.7 LD |
15.4 |
57 |
| 2026 KP |
2026-May-20 |
2.2 LD |
16.1 |
13 |
| 2026 JD3 |
2026-May-21 |
6.9 LD |
7.7 |
12 |
| 2026 JD4 |
2026-May-21 |
4.3 LD |
24.1 |
35 |
| 2026 JG1 |
2026-May-21 |
13.4 LD |
14.6 |
35 |
| 2026 JA4 |
2026-May-21 |
7.6 LD |
7.8 |
13 |
| 2026 KF |
2026-May-22 |
1.7 LD |
14.1 |
21 |
| 2026 JE1 |
2026-May-22 |
2.9 LD |
4.7 |
12 |
| 2026 JC4 |
2026-May-22 |
15 LD |
21.3 |
46 |
| 2026 KK |
2026-May-23 |
15.3 LD |
8.4 |
25 |
| 2026 JM |
2026-May-23 |
5.2 LD |
7.8 |
24 |
| 2023 KH4 |
2026-May-24 |
5.5 LD |
7.9 |
14 |
| 2023 KZ1 |
2026-May-24 |
9 LD |
13.4 |
20 |
| 2026 JW3 |
2026-May-25 |
13.2 LD |
14.8 |
63 |
| 2026 JJ |
2026-May-27 |
18.8 LD |
4.8 |
24 |
| 2026 HW2 |
2026-May-29 |
17.7 LD |
12.5 |
121 |
| 2023 BM4 |
2026-May-30 |
12.2 LD |
5.7 |
64 |
| 2026 JN |
2026-Jun-01 |
16 LD |
7.8 |
50 |
| 2021 KN2 |
2026-Jun-03 |
8.9 LD |
8.9 |
7 |
| 2018 GE |
2026-Jun-07 |
16.4 LD |
3.1 |
11 |
| 2016 VS |
2026-Jun-12 |
20 LD |
11.1 |
12 |
| 530520 |
2026-Jun-12 |
16.1 LD |
14.6 |
152 |
| 2003 LN6 |
2026-Jun-18 |
3.7 LD |
3.9 |
41 |
| 2025 WC4 |
2026-Jun-21 |
10.2 LD |
19.2 |
304 |
| 2015 LM24 |
2026-Jun-22 |
18.2 LD |
13.8 |
71 |
| 152637 |
2026-Jun-27 |
6.7 LD |
8.9 |
947 |
| 523808 |
2026-Jul-04 |
9.1 LD |
16.8 |
479 |
| 2023 YO1 |
2026-Jul-05 |
6.5 LD |
2.7 |
23 |
| 2007 AA2 |
2026-Jul-11 |
17.8 LD |
7.2 |
43 |
| 2025 PN7 |
2026-Jul-17 |
11.6 LD |
2.6 |
19 |
Notes: LD means
"Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance
between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256
AU.
| |
Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere |
SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 10 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.
Latest results (Nov. 2024): Atmospheric radiation is sharply decreasing in 2024. Our latest measurements in November registered a 10-year low:
What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.
.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.
Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.
Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.
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The
official U.S. government space weather bureau |
| |
The
first place to look for information about sundogs,
pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. |
| |
Researchers
call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO
is the most advanced solar observatory ever. |
| |
3D
views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial
Relations Observatory |
| |
Realtime
and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. |
| |
information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary |
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current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics. |
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Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries |
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from
the NOAA Space Environment Center |
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fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. |
| |
from the NOAA Space Environment Center |
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the
underlying science of space weather |
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Got a chipped or cracked windshield that prevents you from seeing space weather events while driving? Get windshield replacement from SR Windows & Glass with free mobile auto glass service anywhere in the Phoenix area. |
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