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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 451.1 km/sec
density: 3.69 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C6
2124 UT Jun16
24-hr: C6
1546 UT Jun16
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 16 Jun 24
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Sunspot AR3712 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 134
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 16 Jun 2024

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 16 Jun 2024


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 28.06x1010 W Hot
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 16 Jun 2024

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 171 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 16 Jun 2024

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -4.0% Low
48-hr change: -0.5%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 16 Jun 2024 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 4.00 unsettled
24-hr max: Kp= 4.00
unsettled
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.71 nT
Bz: 2.99 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 16 Jun 24

There are no large equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On June 15, 2024, the Arctic stratosphere is much too warm for Type II polar stratospheric clouds. | more data.

Noctilucent Clouds
They're back! The northern season for NLCs is underway. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle on May 25, 2024, by the NOAA 21 satellite. The clouds have since spread, and now observers are seeing from the ground as well:

noctilucent clouds
Updated: June 13, 2024

An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). IN the daily map, above, each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2024 Jun 16 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
55 %
55 %
CLASS X
10 %
10 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2024 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
35 %
MINOR
05 %
20 %
SEVERE
01 %
05 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
10 %
MINOR
25 %
30 %
SEVERE
30 %
50 %
 
Sunday, Jun. 16, 2024
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

UNEXPECTED CME IMPACT: A CME hit Earth's magnetic field on June 15th (1157 UT). The unexpected impact sparked a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm, which has subsided but could flare up again on June 16th as Earth moves through the CME's wake. Aurora alerts: SMS Text

A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SUNSPOT: Only a few days ago, sunspot AR3712 didn't exist. Now it's 8 times wider than Earth and growing fast. Yesterday in Austria, Michael Karrer photographed the sunspot crackling with activity:

Karrer's photo reveals hot currents of plasma surging up and down the sunspot's massive backbone. A few hotspots are "Ellerman Bombs"-- magnetic explosions about one-millionth as powerful as true solar flares. A single Ellerman bomb releases about 1026 ergs of energy, equal to about 100,000 World War II atomic bombs.

Magnetograms of the sunspot reveal a mixed-polarity magnetic field with north (+) and south (-) poles bumping together. Magnetic reconnection could soon cause an X-class solar flare. Any such eruption this weekend will be geoeffective as the sunspot is turning to directly face Earth. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

more images: from Philip Smith of Manorville, NY; from Philippe Tosi of Nîmes, France; from Ronnie Sherrill of Statesville, NC;

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

NOCTILUCENT CLOUDS IN MOTION: As the summer solstice approaches, noctilucent clouds (NLCs) are spreading across Europe. There's one surefire way to know when you've seen one--the electric-blue ripples. Michael Jaeger photographed them on June 14th over Martinsberg, Austria:

"This is a 2 minute animation of the night-shining clouds just after midnight," says Jaeger.

NLCs are clouds of frosted meteor smoke 83 km above Earth's surface. They form at this time of year when summertime wisps of water vapor rise to the mesosphere, coating specks of disintegrated meteoroids with an icy rime. The ripples are gravity waves.

Gravity waves are waves of pressure and temperature that ripple upward from powerful storm systems. They get their name from the fact that gravity acts as a restoring force, which tries to restore equilibrium to up-and-down moving air. Gravity waves can propagate all the way from Earth's surface to the mesosphere, where they imprint themselves on the the forms of noctilucent clouds.

If you see these waves rippling across the night sky, photograph them! Then, submit your images here.

Realtime Noctilucent Cloud Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

HANDMADE TOTAL ECLIPSE PENDANT: On April 8, 2024, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched a cosmic ray research balloon to the stratosphere. This handmade pendant went along for the ride. Floating more than 118,110 feet high, the it spent 3 minutes and 45 seconds wrapped in the shadow of the Moon:

You can have it for $179.95. Created by an artist in Texas where totality occured, the pendant displays a solar eclipse art print sealed under a smooth glass cover. It comes with a greeting card showing the pendant in flight and telling the story of its journey to the edge of space during the total eclipse.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jun 15, 2024, the network reported 10 fireballs.
(10 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On June 16, 2024 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2024 CR9
2024-Jun-11
19.2 LD
7.4
451
2024 LD
2024-Jun-11
12.1 LD
10.7
21
2024 LV2
2024-Jun-11
12.3 LD
28.2
77
2022 XC1
2024-Jun-12
16.5 LD
6.5
21
2024 LQ5
2024-Jun-12
1.2 LD
13.1
38
2024 LS5
2024-Jun-13
6.4 LD
16.5
22
2024 LR5
2024-Jun-14
3.9 LD
5.9
8
2024 LZ2
2024-Jun-14
3.5 LD
20.4
20
2024 LL1
2024-Jun-15
5.2 LD
9.2
21
2024 LS4
2024-Jun-15
11.1 LD
4.8
23
2024 LZ4
2024-Jun-16
0.7 LD
21.4
22
2024 LB4
2024-Jun-16
7.6 LD
7.6
29
2024 LH3
2024-Jun-16
13 LD
6.1
48
2024 LU1
2024-Jun-17
4.8 LD
7.1
23
2022 WW11
2024-Jun-17
19.7 LD
14.4
15
2024 KW1
2024-Jun-17
19.9 LD
4
28
2024 KY1
2024-Jun-19
16.1 LD
12.2
36
2024 LO3
2024-Jun-20
1.9 LD
8
20
2024 LG5
2024-Jun-21
6.1 LD
7.6
16
2024 LO2
2024-Jun-21
14.2 LD
9.2
29
2024 LJ
2024-Jun-22
8.8 LD
18.5
69
2024 KN1
2024-Jun-23
14.6 LD
4.6
28
2024 KJ
2024-Jun-25
13.7 LD
4.5
25
2024 LO5
2024-Jun-25
5.1 LD
7.9
20
2019 NJ
2024-Jun-27
17.2 LD
10.1
66
415029
2024-Jun-27
17.3 LD
25.9
2304
2022 MM1
2024-Jun-28
7.8 LD
10.9
39
2010 XN
2024-Jun-28
14.1 LD
11.3
52
2022 HD1
2024-Jun-29
17.3 LD
7.2
63
2017 MB3
2024-Jun-30
5 LD
6.5
30
2024 JJ25
2024-Jun-30
10.5 LD
9.4
117
2024 LJ2
2024-Jul-01
19.9 LD
10.4
87
2022 BY39
2024-Jul-02
13.2 LD
3
4
2024 LH
2024-Jul-02
4.4 LD
4.3
32
2024 KQ1
2024-Jul-04
14.9 LD
6.9
57
2022 YS5
2024-Jul-11
11 LD
5.8
38
2024 BY15
2024-Jul-16
16.2 LD
0.7
16
2024 LY2
2024-Jul-23
12 LD
7.8
88
2011 MW1
2024-Jul-25
10.1 LD
8
120
2011 AM24
2024-Jul-26
16.8 LD
6.2
281
523664
2024-Jul-28
14.9 LD
23.7
680
2020 PN1
2024-Aug-02
18 LD
5.5
29
2023 HB7
2024-Aug-05
14.6 LD
6.1
32
2017 TU1
2024-Aug-05
10.1 LD
10.1
22
2024 KH3
2024-Aug-10
14.5 LD
11.4
194
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics.
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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