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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 472.0 km/sec
density: 3.41 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2
1752 UT Jan29
24-hr: M6
0438 UT Jan29
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 29 Jan 24
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Departing sunspot AR3559 is suddenly crackling with strong solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 75
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 29 Jan 2024

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 29 Jan 2024


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 18.85x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 28 Jan 2024

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 141 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 29 Jan 2024

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -4.4% Low
48-hr change: +0.3%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 29 Jan 2024 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2.33 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3.00
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.26 nT
Bz: -0.51 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 29 Jan 24

A twin stream of solar wind flowing from these coronal holes should reach Earth on Jan. 30-31.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On Jan. 29, 2024, the Arctic stratosphere is a few degrees too warm for Type II polar stratospheric clouds. | more data.

Noctilucent Clouds
The southern season for NLCs is underway. The first clouds were detected inside the Antarctic Circle on Dec. 4th by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here:

noctilucent clouds
Updated: Jan 29, 2024

Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2024 Jan 29 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
40 %
25 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2024 Jan 29 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
30 %
30 %
MINOR
10 %
15 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
30 %
30 %
SEVERE
40 %
40 %
 
Monday, Jan. 29, 2024
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

BIG SUNSPOTS VISIBLE FROM MARS: Yesterday, Mars rover Perseverance looked up at the sun and saw an impressive group of sunspots. Take a look at this image. At first glance, those fuzzy spots might not seem impressive. However, the camera Perseverance uses to look at the sun puts only 90 pixels across the solar disk; a sunspot group has to be big to register. This "Martian sunspot group" is not visible from Earth now, but it will turn toward us later this week. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

SOLAR PROTONS ARE RAINING DOWN ON EARTH: Energetic protons from the sun are striking the top of Earth's atmosphere today following a strong solar flare during the early hours of Jan. 29th. This is called a "radiation storm," and it is currently a category S2 event. Such a storm can cause elevated levels of radiation in airplanes flying over Earth's poles and unwanted glitches in the electronics of Earth-orbiting satellites.

NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the M6.8-class solar flare, which started this storm:

The source of the flare was departing sunspot AR3559. Not all flares cause radiation storms, but this one did because the sunspot is unusually well connected to Earth.

That may seem counterintuitive, because the sunspot is not directly facing our planet. However, when sunspots are near the sun's western limb (as AR3559 is), they can link to Earth magnetically. Take a look at this diagram, and you'll understand why. It's called "the Parker Spiral." Protons accelerated by the flare are now following the Parker Spiral toward Earth and raining down on our atmosphere.

NOAA's GOES-18 satellite is recording the protons as they pass by en route to Earth:

The three colors represent different energy ranges. Blue and green are especially noteworthy; they trace the most energetic protons capable of penetrating the metal hulls of satellites and aircraft. A significant pulse of these "hard" protons was recorded in the hours immediately after the flare.

The explosion also hurled a CME into space, shown here in a coronagraph animation from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO):

The many speckles in the animation are solar protons striking the spacecraft's camera. It is a sign and side-effect of the radiation storm. A NASA model of the CME suggests it will graze Earth during the early hours of Jan. 31st. Confirmation awaits independent modeling by NOAA.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

SNOOPY & WOODSTOCK FOR VALENTINE'S DAY: Does your Valentine love Snoopy and Woodstock? This is the perfect gift for them. On Jan. 26th, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched the pair to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon:

You can have this premium pendant for $149.95. Framed by sterling silver, Snoopy is handing Woodstock a miniature ruby heart, expressing a joyous affection that will delight any Peanuts fan.

The students are selling space pendants to pay the helium bill for their cosmic ray ballooning program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the jewelry in flight and telling the story of its trip to the stratosphere and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jan 28, 2024, the network reported 5 fireballs.
(5 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On January 29, 2024 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2024 AL6
2024-Jan-24
5.5 LD
27
26
2017 BG92
2024-Jan-25
11.8 LD
6.3
6
2011 CQ1
2024-Jan-26
11.3 LD
4.6
1
2024 BJ
2024-Jan-27
0.9 LD
6.3
20
2024 BF1
2024-Jan-27
10.5 LD
26
77
2024 AU4
2024-Jan-28
16.5 LD
17.4
83
2024 AT1
2024-Jan-30
20 LD
21.4
150
2024 BA3
2024-Jan-30
1.6 LD
5.8
6
2007 EG
2024-Jan-30
16 LD
8.6
43
2003 BM4
2024-Feb-01
8.7 LD
10.9
37
2024 BY
2024-Feb-01
6.6 LD
5.4
20
2008 OS7
2024-Feb-02
7.5 LD
18.2
285
2024 BP1
2024-Feb-02
8.9 LD
7.2
40
2019 CC5
2024-Feb-04
19.2 LD
15
139
2024 BO
2024-Feb-06
19.9 LD
6.1
32
2023 SP1
2024-Feb-07
14.3 LD
11.8
256
2024 BH
2024-Feb-10
18.4 LD
8.1
78
2020 DK
2024-Feb-12
8.9 LD
9.9
22
2024 AO
2024-Feb-16
9.3 LD
7.3
53
2019 DA1
2024-Mar-03
14.6 LD
13.4
22
2015 FM34
2024-Mar-12
19.4 LD
11.1
113
2020 FU
2024-Mar-15
14.9 LD
15.5
19
2020 FD
2024-Mar-18
4.5 LD
15.1
10
2019 CJ
2024-Mar-24
12.4 LD
4.4
30
2021 CF6
2024-Mar-25
14.5 LD
8.3
63
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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