| | Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica Credit: NOAA/Ovation Planetary K-index Now: Kp= 2.33 quiet 24-hr max: Kp= 3.00 quiet explanation | more data Interplanetary Mag. Field Btotal: 6.70 nT Bz: -1.47 nT south more data: ACE, DSCOVR Updated: Today at 1147 UT Coronal Holes: 23 Nov 24 There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun. Credit: SDO/AIA Polar Stratospheric Clouds Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough: On Nov. 23, 2024, the Arctic stratosphere is cold enough for Type I polar stratospheric clouds, but Type II clouds are still almost 10 degrees away. | more data. Noctilucent Clouds The northern season for NLCs is underway--but not for long. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle on May 25, 2024, by the NOAA 21 satellite. After peaking in July, the clouds are now in rapid decline. This is typical for the month of August, which usually brings the end of NLC season in the northern hemisphere. Updated: Aug. 28, 2024 An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). In the daily map, above, each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies. SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts | | Updated at: 2024 Nov 23 2200 UTC FLARE | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | CLASS M | 60 % | 60 % | CLASS X | 15 % | 15 % | Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm Updated at: 2024 Nov 23 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 25 % | 10 % | MINOR | 10 % | 05 % | SEVERE | 01 % | 01 % | High latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 15 % | 15 % | MINOR | 25 % | 20 % | SEVERE | 35 % | 20 % | | | | | | | | | | | | This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being. | | | NEW SUNSPOTS: After a week of relatively low sunspot number, two big new sunspot groups are emerging over the sun's southeastern limb. Here they are. Based on their rate of growth, they could soon become a source of strong solar flares. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text AURORAS OVER AN ACTIVE VOLCANO: For the seventh time in less than a year, Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula has erupted, spewing molten lava from a fissure almost 2 miles long. Wioleta Gorecka photographed the volcanic glow underneath a curtain of auroras on Nov. 21st: "I arrived at Reykjanesviti around 7:30 PM and was surprised by the absence of other people, as the view from this spot was absolutely stunning!" says Gorecka. "I set up my camera on an icy walkway to steaming hot springs near the eruption. The magic of this place was astonishing!" For 800 years, this corner of Iceland was quiet--until March 19, 2021, when a long dormant volcano re-awakened. Historical accounts and ancient lava flows show that whenever volcanoes in the area erupt, they can remain active for decades or even centuries. This might not be the last photo mixing geomagnetic and geologic emissions. Stay tuned! Aurora alerts: SMS Text Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter BLACK FRIDAY AT THE EDGE OF SPACE: Christmas is coming. Are you looking for a far-out gift? Check out the Earth to Sky Store. It's filled with unique items that have flown to the edge of space onboard cosmic ray research balloons. Carried aloft by giant helium balloons, these unique gifts have flown above 99.7% of Earth's atmosphere, experiencing space-like blasts of cosmic rays, extreme cold, and a wild ride parachuting back to Earth after the balloon explodes. Even Amazon doesn't carry items this far out. Don't forget to enter coupon code "HANDOFAPOLLO" at checkout for a 10% Early Black Friday discount. Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store All sales support hands-on STEM education Realtime Comet Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com. On Nov 22, 2024, the network reported 16 fireballs. (13 sporadics, 2 Leonids, 1 November omega Orionid) In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies] Potentially Hazardous Asteroids ( PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. On November 23, 2024 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids. | Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) | 2024 VT3 | 2024-Nov-18 | 12.6 LD | 12.3 | 42 | 2024 WC | 2024-Nov-18 | 1.3 LD | 19.3 | 12 | 2023 WK3 | 2024-Nov-18 | 16.1 LD | 14.5 | 272 | 2024 WH | 2024-Nov-18 | 2.9 LD | 14.7 | 13 | 2024 UZ10 | 2024-Nov-18 | 11.6 LD | 13.2 | 48 | 2024 WG | 2024-Nov-19 | 6.1 LD | 9.4 | 17 | 2024 WJ | 2024-Nov-19 | 0.2 LD | 4.8 | 4 | 2024 VQ4 | 2024-Nov-19 | 14.2 LD | 14.6 | 99 | 2024 WL | 2024-Nov-19 | 3.2 LD | 10.6 | 25 | 2024 WW | 2024-Nov-19 | 9.2 LD | 13.9 | 30 | 2024 VU2 | 2024-Nov-19 | 15.1 LD | 8.7 | 40 | 2012 KO11 | 2024-Nov-20 | 6.1 LD | 9.4 | 43 | 2024 UW9 | 2024-Nov-20 | 13.5 LD | 14.8 | 46 | 2024 WO | 2024-Nov-20 | 0.2 LD | 13.1 | 11 | 2020 VX4 | 2024-Nov-20 | 10.5 LD | 10.5 | 11 | 2010 WC | 2024-Nov-21 | 1.9 LD | 9.1 | 31 | 2024 WQ | 2024-Nov-21 | 11.1 LD | 2.4 | 9 | 2024 WM | 2024-Nov-21 | 9 LD | 6.3 | 15 | 2024 WF | 2024-Nov-21 | 4.4 LD | 8.5 | 9 | 2024 WV | 2024-Nov-22 | 7.7 LD | 6.1 | 18 | 2024 WY | 2024-Nov-23 | 14.6 LD | 9.4 | 33 | 2024 WE | 2024-Nov-23 | 2.7 LD | 2.7 | 9 | 2024 VY2 | 2024-Nov-24 | 16.3 LD | 13.2 | 53 | 2024 WP1 | 2024-Nov-24 | 0.3 LD | 16 | 9 | 2024 WU | 2024-Nov-24 | 7.9 LD | 8.2 | 20 | 2024 WK | 2024-Nov-24 | 4.6 LD | 11 | 20 | 2009 WB105 | 2024-Nov-25 | 15.1 LD | 18.9 | 71 | 2006 WB | 2024-Nov-26 | 2.3 LD | 4.2 | 98 | 2024 WT | 2024-Nov-28 | 2.3 LD | 3.8 | 15 | 2018 DC4 | 2024-Nov-29 | 18.8 LD | 4.5 | 12 | 2024 WZ | 2024-Nov-29 | 3.8 LD | 9.9 | 15 | 2019 JN2 | 2024-Nov-30 | 9.4 LD | 7.7 | 25 | 2024 WS | 2024-Nov-30 | 6.1 LD | 10.5 | 18 | 2021 XZ | 2024-Dec-02 | 13.2 LD | 7.4 | 8 | 447755 | 2024-Dec-03 | 14.4 LD | 12.2 | 402 | 2020 XR | 2024-Dec-04 | 5.8 LD | 12.3 | 388 | 2024 WO1 | 2024-Dec-04 | 11.7 LD | 4.3 | 14 | 2021 WA5 | 2024-Dec-05 | 9.8 LD | 5.9 | 12 | 2024 WB1 | 2024-Dec-05 | 19.1 LD | 5.8 | 26 | 2024 UU3 | 2024-Dec-08 | 16.9 LD | 4.8 | 38 | 2018 XU3 | 2024-Dec-11 | 16.8 LD | 10.8 | 28 | 2007 XB23 | 2024-Dec-11 | 1.2 LD | 4.8 | 14 | 2022 YO1 | 2024-Dec-17 | 2 LD | 14.3 | 4 | 2020 XY4 | 2024-Dec-19 | 12.8 LD | 8.8 | 14 | 2017 YD2 | 2024-Dec-27 | 18 LD | 9.9 | 6 | 2024 AV2 | 2024-Dec-31 | 6.7 LD | 7.8 | 17 | 2021 AO4 | 2025-Jan-04 | 6.9 LD | 15.1 | 11 | 2020 BC6 | 2025-Jan-05 | 9.6 LD | 22.2 | 248 | 2024 BM1 | 2025-Jan-08 | 11.5 LD | 9.1 | 22 | 2024 PT5 | 2025-Jan-09 | 4.7 LD | 1 | 12 | 2023 OS3 | 2025-Jan-09 | 19.9 LD | 3.1 | 10 | 2012 UK171 | 2025-Jan-11 | 10.7 LD | 6.4 | 46 | 2023 OS | 2025-Jan-15 | 16.6 LD | 10.9 | 48 | 2022 CE2 | 2025-Jan-16 | 11.1 LD | 13.3 | 120 | 2022 OB5 | 2025-Jan-18 | 8.9 LD | 1.4 | 6 | Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere | SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 10 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements. Latest results (Nov. 2024): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2024. Our latest measurements in November registered a 10-year low: What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down. .Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners. Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today. | The official U.S. government space weather bureau | | The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. | | Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. | | 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory | | Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. | | information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary | | current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics. | | Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | the underlying science of space weather | | Got a chipped or cracked windshield that prevents you from seeing space weather events while driving? Get windshield replacement from SR Windows & Glass with free mobile auto glass service anywhere in the Phoenix area. | | BestCSGOGambling is the best site for everything related to CSGO gambling on the web | | These links help Spaceweather.com stay online. Thank you to our supporters! | | | | | | | | | | | | ©2021 Spaceweather.com. All rights reserved. This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips. | |