| | Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica Credit: NOAA/Ovation Planetary K-index Now: Kp= 2.33 quiet 24-hr max: Kp= 5.33 storm explanation | more data Interplanetary Mag. Field Btotal: 3.14 nT Bz: 2.86 nT north more data: ACE, DSCOVR Updated: Today at 1146 UT Coronal Holes: 12 May 23 There are no equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun. Credit: SDO/AIA Noctilucent Clouds Bad news: NASA's AIM spacecraft, which monitors noctilucent clouds, may be dead due to problems with an onboard battery. Mission controllers have not yet given up all hope, so stay tuned. Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar Updated May12 SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts | | Updated at: 2023 May 12 2200 UTC FLARE | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | CLASS M | 55 % | 55 % | CLASS X | 15 % | 15 % | Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm Updated at: 2023 May 12 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 30 % | 15 % | MINOR | 05 % | 05 % | SEVERE | 01 % | 01 % | High latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 25 % | 15 % | MINOR | 25 % | 20 % | SEVERE | 20 % | 20 % | | | | | | | | | | | | Never miss another geomagnetic storm. Sign up for Space Weather Alerts and you'll receive a text message when magnetic storms erupt. Aurora tour guides and professional astronomers use this service. You can, too! | | | "DUD" CME IMPACT SPARKS MINOR STORM: A CME hit Earth's magnetic field on May 12th at 0635 UT, deflecting magnetometer needles at the Ottawa Magnetic Observatory by 34 nT. A bit of a dud, the impact sparked only a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm and no widespread auroras. Aurora alerts: SMS Text. BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOT: You might suppose that the farside of the sun is hidden from view. However, researchers using a technique called "helioseismology" can make crude maps of the sun's hidden hemisphere. Their latest map reveals a huge farside active region: The black blob is a sunspot group--big enough to alter the way the sun vibrates. Sunspots on this scale are usually active. The sun's rotation will turn it to face Earth late next week. Between now and then, we might see some nice farside CMEs in SOHO coronagraph images. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text. Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter SILVER SNOOPY SPACE PENDANT: Snoopy has touched space. This sterling silver pendant flew to the stratosphere on April 15, 2023, floating on a cosmic ray balloon 117,400 feet above the Sierra Nevada mountains of central California: You can have it for $159.95. Space Snoopy makes a great birthday, anniversary or Mother's day gift. The students of Earth to Sky Calculus are selling space pendants to support their cosmic ray ballooning program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the pendant in flight and telling the story of its journey to the stratosphere and back again Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store All sales support hands-on STEM education Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com. On May 12, 2023, the network reported 20 fireballs. (18 sporadics, 2 eta Lyrids) In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies] Potentially Hazardous Asteroids ( PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. On May 12, 2023 there were 2316 potentially hazardous asteroids. | Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) | 2023 HT6 | 2023-May-07 | 3.2 LD | 9.2 | 21 | 2023 JT | 2023-May-07 | 8.2 LD | 8.3 | 26 | 2023 HP1 | 2023-May-07 | 16 LD | 11.6 | 93 | 2023 JN | 2023-May-08 | 6.7 LD | 10.8 | 21 | 2023 JC1 | 2023-May-08 | 4.7 LD | 16.3 | 12 | 2023 JE | 2023-May-08 | 17.7 LD | 8.6 | 58 | 2023 JO | 2023-May-08 | 0.2 LD | 18.8 | 5 | 2023 JY | 2023-May-09 | 1 LD | 15.5 | 8 | 2023 HG1 | 2023-May-09 | 10.9 LD | 2.4 | 19 | 2023 JH | 2023-May-09 | 3 LD | 6.3 | 8 | 2023 JU | 2023-May-09 | 10 LD | 6.8 | 14 | 2023 JF | 2023-May-09 | 0.8 LD | 7.1 | 11 | 2023 JD | 2023-May-10 | 3.4 LD | 9.7 | 17 | 2023 JM | 2023-May-10 | 1.6 LD | 13.5 | 12 | 2023 JQ | 2023-May-10 | 1.4 LD | 8.7 | 9 | 2023 JL | 2023-May-11 | 1.6 LD | 12.3 | 10 | 2023 JZ | 2023-May-11 | 19.8 LD | 9.7 | 18 | 2023 HT4 | 2023-May-12 | 15.9 LD | 8.9 | 79 | 2023 JG | 2023-May-13 | 18.6 LD | 15.3 | 51 | 2023 JP | 2023-May-14 | 8.4 LD | 7.8 | 27 | 2011 KY15 | 2023-May-18 | 19.9 LD | 14.3 | 54 | 2023 JK | 2023-May-21 | 4.3 LD | 9.3 | 41 | 2021 JK7 | 2023-May-22 | 16.7 LD | 22.9 | 48 | 2023 GY2 | 2023-May-22 | 18.1 LD | 11.3 | 96 | 2019 UJ3 | 2023-May-23 | 15.5 LD | 9.8 | 21 | 2023 CL3 | 2023-May-24 | 18.9 LD | 7.3 | 117 | 2021 KO2 | 2023-May-29 | 15.8 LD | 13.9 | 9 | 2012 KP24 | 2023-May-31 | 10.3 LD | 12.4 | 19 | 2018 KR | 2023-Jun-07 | 6.5 LD | 4.9 | 19 | 2017 UJ2 | 2023-Jun-07 | 5.3 LD | 5.6 | 2 | 488453 | 2023-Jun-12 | 8.3 LD | 21.5 | 495 | 2022 WN4 | 2023-Jun-13 | 10.8 LD | 15.1 | 158 | 2020 DB5 | 2023-Jun-15 | 11.3 LD | 9.5 | 506 | 2023 HL | 2023-Jun-17 | 13.5 LD | 1 | 15 | 2016 LK49 | 2023-Jun-19 | 17.4 LD | 19.4 | 22 | 2018 LN2 | 2023-Jun-20 | 19 LD | 9.9 | 84 | 2023 HF1 | 2023-Jun-21 | 12.5 LD | 4.4 | 59 | 467336 | 2023-Jun-24 | 17.4 LD | 7.1 | 269 | 2008 LG2 | 2023-Jun-24 | 10.5 LD | 5.6 | 32 | 2022 MM1 | 2023-Jun-29 | 9.5 LD | 9.8 | 41 | 2020 NC | 2023-Jul-02 | 13.9 LD | 7.7 | 123 | 2023 HO6 | 2023-Jul-05 | 5.3 LD | 7.8 | 229 | 2019 LH5 | 2023-Jul-07 | 14.9 LD | 21.6 | 281 | 2018 NW | 2023-Jul-10 | 18 LD | 21.8 | 10 | Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere | SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements. Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low: What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down. .Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners. Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today. | The official U.S. government space weather bureau | | The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. | | Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. | | 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory | | Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. | | information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary | | current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page | | Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | the underlying science of space weather | | Getting YouTube comments is essential if you want to beat the algorithm! 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