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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 447.8 km/sec
density: 5.3 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B3
1809 UT Sep14
24-hr: C1
0649 UT Sep14
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 14 Sep 21
Expand: labels | no labels
Sunspots AR2866 and AR2868 are about to disappear over the sun's western limb. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 32
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 14 Sep 2021

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2021 total: 56 days (22%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 14 Sep 2021


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 5.57
x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 14 Sep 2021

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 83 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 14 Sep 2021

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is beginning, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: +9.7% High
48-hr change: +0.9%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 14 Sep 2021 @ 1700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.3 nT
Bz: 0.7 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2344 UT
Coronal Holes: 14 Sep 21

There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds The northern hemisphere season for noctilucent clouds appears to be over. NASA's AIM spacecraft detected no evidence of NLCs around the north pole on Aug. 29th.
Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar
Updated at:
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2021 Sep 14 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2021 Sep 14 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
10 %
MINOR
01 %
01 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
25 %
20 %
SEVERE
20 %
20 %
 
Tuesday, Sep. 14, 2021
What's up in space
       
 

Never miss another geomagnetic storm. Sign up for Space Weather Alerts and receive a text message when auroras appear. Aurora tour guides and professional astronomers use this service. Now you can, too!

 

POSSIBLE EARTH-DIRECTED CME: During the early hours of Sept. 13th (~0200 UT), a dark filament of magnetism on the sun exploded. The blast hurled a CME into space, and maybe toward Earth. Initial modeling by NOAA suggests a near miss (or glancing blow) on Sept. 16-17. The fact that the CME overlaps at least two other CMEs makes unraveling its trajectory tricky. Stay tuned for additional analysis. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.

SOMETHING JUST HIT JUPITER: Last night, German astronomer Harald Paleske was watching the shadow of Io create a solar eclipse in the atmosphere of Jupiter when something unexpected happened. "A bright flash of light surprised me," he says. "It could only be an impact." Follow the arrows to the fireball:

Reviewing his video frames, Paleske quickly ruled out objects such as airplanes and satellites, which might be crossing Jupiter at the time of his observation. The fireball was fixed in Jupiter's atmosphere. It first appeared at 22:39:27 UT on Sept. 13th and remained visible for a full two seconds. The most likely explanation is a small asteroid or comet striking the giant planet; an asteroid in the 100m size range would do the trick.

This isn't the first time astronomers have seen things hitting Jupiter. The most famous example is Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (SL9), which struck Jupiter in July 1994. At the time, most astronomers thought such collisions were rare, happening every hundred years or so. Since SL9, however, amateur astronomers using improved low-light cameras have observed more than a dozen impact flashes in Jupiter's cloudtops. The Solar System is more dangerous than we thought.

Paleske pinpoints the fireball at Jovian latitude 106.9° (CM1), longitude +3.8°. Other observers are encouraged to monitor the location for debris. Previous impacts have sometimes created inky clouds -- probably the remains of the impactor itself mixed with aerosols formed by shock-chemistry during the explosion.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

STAR TREK WINE STOPPER: It's the most far-out wine stopper ever! On Sept. 9, 2021, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched the USS Enterprise to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon. Here is the starship-shaped stopper floating 105,563 feet above the rugged Sierra Nevada mountains of central California:

You can have it for $99.95. The students are selling these must-have bar accessories to support their cosmic ray research program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the stopper in flight, telling the story of its trip to the edge of space and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Sep 14, 2021, the network reported 19 fireballs.
(17 sporadics, 2 September epsilon Perseids)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On September 14, 2021 there were 2213 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2021 RQ2
2021-Sep-09
0.5 LD
3.8
4
2021 RM3
2021-Sep-09
4.3 LD
7.1
11
2021 QG
2021-Sep-09
6.2 LD
5.8
18
2021 RC10
2021-Sep-09
7.3 LD
10.2
63
2010 RJ53
2021-Sep-09
8.3 LD
19.1
56
2021 RB6
2021-Sep-09
0.7 LD
9.4
9
2021 RN10
2021-Sep-10
1.9 LD
16.6
11
2020 KR2
2021-Sep-10
14.2 LD
5.1
17
2021 RZ5
2021-Sep-10
9.3 LD
6.9
27
2021 RE
2021-Sep-10
14.5 LD
12.9
84
2021 RF12
2021-Sep-10
2 LD
12.4
9
2021 RA8
2021-Sep-10
2.4 LD
10.1
9
2021 RS14
2021-Sep-11
1.3 LD
11.1
8
2021 RQ1
2021-Sep-11
16.7 LD
6.7
19
2021 RV1
2021-Sep-11
6.3 LD
6.9
12
2021 RL14
2021-Sep-11
1.8 LD
9.9
11
2021 RT2
2021-Sep-11
17.8 LD
6.4
21
2021 RG6
2021-Sep-11
0.2 LD
7.4
6
2021 RQ4
2021-Sep-11
2.3 LD
7.3
6
2021 RF3
2021-Sep-11
13.5 LD
11.2
20
2021 RG12
2021-Sep-11
0.8 LD
3
5
2021 RU1
2021-Sep-11
8.2 LD
5
15
2021 RK6
2021-Sep-11
10.5 LD
7.3
16
2021 RH6
2021-Sep-11
1.6 LD
9.6
5
2021 RJ14
2021-Sep-11
4.1 LD
8.3
32
2021 RK14
2021-Sep-12
11.6 LD
8.6
67
2021 RR5
2021-Sep-12
0.2 LD
9
7
2021 RY3
2021-Sep-13
13 LD
11.2
26
2008 CD6
2021-Sep-13
4 LD
14.4
65
2021 QR3
2021-Sep-14
16.7 LD
14.6
58
2021 RX5
2021-Sep-14
7.2 LD
8.1
63
2021 RZ4
2021-Sep-14
16 LD
6.7
17
2021 RL6
2021-Sep-16
14.7 LD
11.9
16
2021 RM10
2021-Sep-16
16.8 LD
12.3
30
2021 RO14
2021-Sep-16
14.8 LD
11.7
19
2021 QG2
2021-Sep-16
18.1 LD
7.3
30
2021 QV5
2021-Sep-16
12.8 LD
15.4
42
2021 RQ9
2021-Sep-17
1.3 LD
13.2
18
2021 RY5
2021-Sep-18
3.5 LD
9.2
27
2021 RR4
2021-Sep-18
13.7 LD
5.9
15
2021 RH12
2021-Sep-18
1.1 LD
5.6
7
2021 QA2
2021-Sep-18
10.6 LD
13
54
2021 RN14
2021-Sep-19
1.9 LD
12.2
14
2021 RZ7
2021-Sep-20
6.2 LD
13.5
23
2017 SL16
2021-Sep-20
12.8 LD
6.1
23
2021 RL3
2021-Sep-20
7.6 LD
22.5
66
2021 RX9
2021-Sep-21
8.3 LD
14.6
23
2021 RP9
2021-Sep-21
15.8 LD
18.1
48
2021 RS
2021-Sep-22
18.6 LD
3.4
37
2021 NY1
2021-Sep-22
3.9 LD
9.4
177
2021 QV6
2021-Sep-24
9.3 LD
13.1
90
2019 SF6
2021-Sep-26
16.4 LD
8.6
20
2021 RP10
2021-Sep-27
9.7 LD
16.4
42
2021 RM5
2021-Sep-30
10.9 LD
4.1
19
2021 RF2
2021-Sep-30
7.3 LD
5.4
25
2021 RP12
2021-Oct-06
5.1 LD
9.5
40
1998 SD9
2021-Oct-06
10.6 LD
10.8
59
2015 TQ21
2021-Oct-07
10.7 LD
20.7
12
2021 RF5
2021-Oct-10
20 LD
8.8
39
2021 QF5
2021-Oct-11
15.4 LD
7.1
49
2019 SE5
2021-Oct-11
16.3 LD
6.6
16
2020 TH6
2021-Oct-19
7.3 LD
5.9
6
1996 VB3
2021-Oct-20
8.8 LD
15.3
135
2021 RE10
2021-Oct-21
15.5 LD
5.1
54
2017 SJ20
2021-Oct-25
18.7 LD
15.7
123
2019 UW6
2021-Oct-26
8 LD
11.1
17
2009 WY7
2021-Nov-02
19.2 LD
14.7
54
2017 TS3
2021-Nov-02
13.9 LD
9.9
135
2005 VL1
2021-Nov-04
17 LD
5.2
18
2020 KA
2021-Nov-06
14.9 LD
4.8
11
2019 XS
2021-Nov-09
1.5 LD
10.7
65
2017 WG14
2021-Nov-10
18.6 LD
11.6
45
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 6 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results: Our most recent flight on June 25, 2021, confirms a trend of decreasing cosmic radiation:

Cosmic ray dose rates peaked in late 2019, and have been slowly declining ever since. This makes perfect sense. Solar Minimum was in late 2019. During Solar Minimum the sun's magnetic field weakens, allowing more cosmic rays into the solar system. We expect dose rate to be highest at that time.

Now that Solar Minimum has passed, the sun is waking up again. Solar magnetic fields are strengthening, providing a stiffer barrier to cosmic rays trying to enter the solar system. The decline of cosmic radiation above California is a sign that new Solar Cycle 25 is gaining strength.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. Somewhat more controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) llink cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

En route to the stratosphere, our sensors also pass through aviation altitudes:

In this plot, dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. The higher you fly, the more radiation you will absorb.

Technical notes:

The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the first graph ("Stratospheric Radiation") correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

To get the best views of the cosmos, check out the Phoenix Window Glass Replacement experts for all your window and glass needs

To get an up close view of the heavenly bodies surrounding Earth, think about selling your junk car for cash and buying a high quality telescope.
Spaceweather.com welcomes these supporters of science communication: RV Sales and Arizona SEO and Arizona Business Directory and C8 Corvette | Phoenix Personal Injury Lawyer | Phoenix SEO
Going above and beyond to provide the best homes listings in the Comox real estate market to keep you up to date and informed
NASA Near Earth Asteroid Home Page

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