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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 390.4 km/sec
density: 4.87 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: M1
2305 UT Nov14
24-hr: M1
2305 UT Nov14
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 14 Nov 23
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Departing sunspot AR3483 has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 85
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 14 Nov 2023

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 14 Nov 2023


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.21x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 13 Nov 2023

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 134 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 14 Nov 2023

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -5.0% Low
48-hr change: -0.1%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 14 Nov 2023 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2.33 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3.00
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 6.85 nT
Bz: -1.21 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
Coronal Holes: 14 Nov 23

There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs began on May 26th. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here:


Updated: Aug. 29, 2023

Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

What happened to NASA's AIM spacecraft, which has been monitoring NLCs since 2007? Earlier this year, the spacecraft's battery failed. As a result AIM is offline, perhaps permanently. There may be some hope of a recovery as AIM's orbit precesses into full sunlight in 2024. Until then, we will maintain AIM's iconic "daily daisy," frozen at Feb. 28, 2023, as a show of thanks for years of service and hope for future daisies:
Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated Nov14
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2023 Nov 14 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
20 %
15 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2023 Nov 14 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
25 %
15 %
MINOR
05 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
20 %
SEVERE
20 %
20 %
 
Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2023
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

WHAT ARE MYSTERIOUS 'BRIGHT NIGHTS'? A phenomenon rarely seen in centuries might have just appeared in the night sky over Colorado--a "Bright Night." Philosophers and scientists have reported Bright Nights for literally thousands of years. It's when an otherwise dark and moonless night fills with a soft glow, allowing observers to see distant mountains or read a newspaper. Pliny the Elder, an Army commander in ancient Rome, described the phenomenon as a "nocturnal sun" (~ 113 BCE).

In the modern world, Bright Nights are seldom seen. Most of our planet's human population lives in cities, and even rural landscapes are somewhat lit by distant urban bulbs. The "nocturnal sun" has been overwhelmed.

Or has it? Enter Aaron Watson, an experienced night-sky photographer who regularly visits the darkest of dark-sky sites in remote parts of Colorado. On multiple occasions this year he has photographed red auroras and green airglow invisible from any ordinary countryside. Last month, he was at one of his favorite inky-dark sites when he may have experienced a modern Bright Night.


Bright airglow over Colorado on Oct. 9,2023. Credit: Aaron Watson

"I go outside on most clear nights to observe," says Watson, "but the night of Oct 9th was noticeably different. Although there was no Moon, or any other source of light, the landscape was softly illuminated. Nearby juniper trees made dark silhouettes against the glowing night sky. I could easily see my telescope and equipment. My partner was with me, and I could see her face quite well. I remarked, 'Wow, it's so bright out!' and she agreed."

"A 'Bright Night' sounds exactly like what I experienced!" says Watson.

As the landscape grew in brightness, Watson decided to photograph the sky. When he pointed his lens toward the stars, the viewscreen of his camera filled with green light. "It was a very strong green airglow--perhaps the brightest I have ever seen," he says. A 20 second exposure produced the photo shown above. 

Bright Nights have been a mystery since at least the first century. Watson's photo could be a clue. It seems to confirm a hypothesis published in 2017 by Gordon Shepherd, then a professor at Canada's York University, who believed that Bright Nights were caused by intense displays of airglow.

Shepherd came to this conclusion using a satellite sensor he built himself: The Wind Imaging Interferometer (WINDII), which orbited Earth for 14 years onboard NASA's Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite. When he and co-author Youngmin Cho examined WINDII's archive, they found a number of apparent Bright Nights in the sensor's airglow data.

Airglow is just what it sounds like: A diffuse glow that fills the air. It is produced by photochemistry in Earth's upper atmosphere, with its green color coming from atomic oxygen. Frequently photographed by astronauts on the ISS, airglow can be detected by sensitive cameras on almost any dark night from all locations on Earth. Rarely, however, is it visible without a camera.


Airglow seen from the International Space Station

In their paper, Shepherd and Cho highlighted 11 events where WINDII detected airglow bright enough to see with the human eye. All were correlated with giant waves of high-altitude air called "zonal waves."  Zonal waves are linked to Earth's jet stream, and play a crucial role in weather and climate. During the events Shepherd and Cho studied, zonal waves piled up ("constructively interfered") to create high pressure regions hundreds to thousands of miles wide. By forcing atomic oxygen into a higher concentration, the zonal waves created an intense Bright Night glow.

The amorphous glow in Watson's photo is just what one would expect of broad zonal wave activity. "The airglow was strong in all directions," recalls Watson. "It had a flat color density without ripples or other fine structures"--just as one would expect from Shepherd and Cho's  hypotheses. 

Bright Nights might not be a thing of the past, after all.

Would you like to experience a Bright Night? Good news: Solar activity is boosting airglow, making the job of zonal waves that much easier. On the next moonless night, find a dark-dark site far from city lights. Bring a newspaper to read--and let us know what happens.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

18K GOLD "ALWAYS AND FOREVER" PENDANT: Are you looking for an unforgettable gift? Consider the Always and Forever Space Pendent. On Aug. 29, 2023, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched it to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon:

You can have it for $229.95. Engraved with the words "I love you always and forever", this 18K gold-plated sterling silver pendant has a heart-shaped ruby crystal in the middle surrounded by a ring of glittering 5A cubic zirconia nuggets. It is a visually striking premium pendant that makes a once-in-a-lifetime anniversary or birthday gift. 

The students are selling space pendants to pay the helium bill for their cosmic ray ballooning program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the jewelry in flight and telling the story of its trip to the stratosphere and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Nov 14, 2023, the network reported 21 fireballs.
(16 sporadics, 3 Northern Taurids, 2 Leonids)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On November 14, 2023 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2023 VC
2023-Nov-09
6.3 LD
9.6
29
2023 VE6
2023-Nov-09
1.9 LD
9.1
14
2018 VN7
2023-Nov-09
3.2 LD
13.2
30
2023 VN1
2023-Nov-09
14.4 LD
7.6
14
2023 VU2
2023-Nov-10
1.9 LD
6.1
8
2023 VT3
2023-Nov-10
11.1 LD
7.5
20
2023 VD4
2023-Nov-10
0.4 LD
15.6
8
2023 VY3
2023-Nov-11
3.5 LD
16.1
11
2023 VD1
2023-Nov-11
17.2 LD
10
35
2023 VQ5
2023-Nov-11
3.5 LD
6.8
10
2023 VL2
2023-Nov-11
2.7 LD
5.9
8
2023 VK3
2023-Nov-11
7.4 LD
3.7
8
2023 VU4
2023-Nov-11
12.4 LD
5.3
18
2023 UQ4
2023-Nov-11
10.7 LD
8.4
39
2023 VF3
2023-Nov-12
8.9 LD
9
19
2023 VV7
2023-Nov-12
5.9 LD
7
16
2023 VR3
2023-Nov-12
5.9 LD
7.7
18
2023 VK1
2023-Nov-12
10.1 LD
9.1
26
2023 VN7
2023-Nov-12
5.7 LD
4.9
29
2023 TZ2
2023-Nov-12
19 LD
2.8
24
2023 VY1
2023-Nov-13
8.9 LD
6.3
37
2023 VG7
2023-Nov-13
4.9 LD
10
9
2014 BA3
2023-Nov-13
15.7 LD
2.7
8
2023 VQ7
2023-Nov-13
5.8 LD
12.3
36
2023 VV1
2023-Nov-13
2 LD
3.7
6
2023 VP4
2023-Nov-13
3 LD
5.7
7
2023 VX
2023-Nov-13
17.4 LD
11.1
53
2023 VR4
2023-Nov-14
17.9 LD
10.5
89
2023 UO
2023-Nov-15
6.4 LD
6.8
36
2023 VL6
2023-Nov-15
8.8 LD
5.1
17
2021 TN3
2023-Nov-15
17 LD
6.3
31
2019 VL5
2023-Nov-16
8.5 LD
8.2
24
2023 VG5
2023-Nov-17
5.7 LD
23.3
24
2023 VX4
2023-Nov-17
7 LD
3.9
11
2023 VX7
2023-Nov-17
2.5 LD
10.8
14
2023 VK4
2023-Nov-17
12.3 LD
11.9
25
2023 VW7
2023-Nov-17
7.3 LD
10.1
19
2019 LB1
2023-Nov-18
15.8 LD
4.2
14
2016 DK1
2023-Nov-19
5.3 LD
6.8
12
2023 VY7
2023-Nov-19
19.6 LD
13.7
80
2023 VT7
2023-Nov-19
15 LD
10.6
56
2022 VR1
2023-Nov-19
8.1 LD
6.1
39
2023 VE7
2023-Nov-20
14.1 LD
19.7
38
2023 VE4
2023-Nov-20
13.3 LD
11.6
37
2023 VW5
2023-Nov-21
4.4 LD
11.2
31
2023 VC7
2023-Nov-23
10.6 LD
8.1
23
2023 VH6
2023-Nov-23
6.8 LD
7.3
28
2019 UT6
2023-Nov-24
9 LD
13.2
141
2019 CZ2
2023-Nov-25
2.8 LD
5.8
44
2023 VH5
2023-Nov-25
17.9 LD
9
32
2023 VM1
2023-Nov-26
10.9 LD
8.9
43
2013 UB3
2023-Nov-27
18.5 LD
5.4
25
2023 VR5
2023-Nov-28
5.3 LD
3
10
2023 VM7
2023-Dec-01
6.4 LD
3.2
11
1998 WB2
2023-Dec-03
11 LD
14.2
151
2013 VX4
2023-Dec-04
5.1 LD
6.6
60
2023 TB27
2023-Dec-06
17 LD
4.3
44
139622
2023-Dec-06
14.4 LD
6.7
719
2020 HX3
2023-Dec-10
9.8 LD
15.7
13
2010 XF3
2023-Dec-11
19.4 LD
4
46
2016 XD2
2023-Dec-19
18.7 LD
6.9
59
341843
2023-Dec-20
16.5 LD
5.3
344
2018 YJ2
2023-Dec-21
18.4 LD
13.1
154
2022 YG
2023-Dec-22
10.8 LD
5.1
17
2023 VD6
2023-Dec-23
10.6 LD
15.5
167
2020 YO3
2023-Dec-23
3.6 LD
16.6
42
2010 UE51
2023-Dec-24
9 LD
1.3
7
2020 YR2
2023-Dec-25
13.8 LD
8
8
2021 AM6
2023-Dec-31
18.3 LD
6.6
17
2019 KK5
2024-Jan-03
10.6 LD
20.9
98
2002 AY1
2024-Jan-08
15.2 LD
17.3
230
2020 AC1
2024-Jan-11
19.3 LD
5.3
7
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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