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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 345.6 km/sec
density: 4.50 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C5
1750 UT Aug15
24-hr: M1
0348 UT Aug15
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 15 Aug 24
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Sunspot AR3784 has a beta-gamma-delta magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 194
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 15 Aug 2024

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 15 Aug 2024


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 29.00x1010 W Hot
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 14 Aug 2024

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 248 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Aug 2024

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -5.4% Low
48-hr change: +2.0%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Aug 2024 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1.67 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2.33
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.86 nT
Bz: -4.17 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 15 Aug 24

There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On Aug. 14, 2024, the Arctic stratosphere is much too warm for Type II polar stratospheric clouds. | more data.

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs is underway--but not for long. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle on May 25, 2024, by the NOAA 21 satellite. After peaking in July, the clouds are now in rapid decline. This is typical for the month of August, which usually broings the end of NLC season in the northern hemisphere.

noctilucent clouds
Updated: Aug. 14, 2024

An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). In the daily map, above, each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2024 Aug 14 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
75 %
75 %
CLASS X
25 %
25 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2024 Aug 14 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
20 %
MINOR
01 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
25 %
SEVERE
15 %
25 %
 
Thursday, Aug. 15, 2024
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH (G1): Yesterday's X1-class solar flare from sunspot AR3784 hurled a faint CME directly toward Earth. A NOAA model predicts it will arrive on Aug. 18th. NASA's model leans more toward Aug. 17th. Either way, the CME's impact could cause a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm. CME impact alerts: SMS Text

A BLUE FLASH FROM VENUS: Italian photographer Paolo Palma was watching Venus sink into the sunset on Aug. 12th when something extraordinary happened. A piece of the planet broke away and turned blue:

This is a very rare blue flash from Venus.

You've heard of green flashes. They're sometimes seen when the sun is setting at sea. Temperature inversions and strong thermal gradients in air above the sea surface split the sun into R-G-B colors and magnify the green into a dramatic flash above the setting sun.

Blue flashes are formed in the same way as green flashes. However, blue flashes are harder to see because air molecules and aerosols scatter blue light. When the air is exceptionally clear, however, the blue flash emerges.

Photographers are lucky when they catch a blue flash from the sun. Catching one from Venus is a once in a lifetime shot. Congratulations, Paolo!

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

REAL MONEY FROM SPACE: On July 16, 1969, the world watched as a Saturn V rocket launched Neil Armstrong, Buzz Aldrin, and Michael Collins to the Moon. Exactly 55 years later, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched the US Mint's limited edition Saturn V dollar coin to the stratosphere:

You can have a single coin for $49.95 or an entire unbroken roll for $249.95. No longer available from the US Mint, these rare coins flew 121,665 feet above the Sierra Nevada on July 16, 2024. One side shows the mighty Saturn V rocket blasting off from Cape Canaveral; the other side features the Statue of Liberty in profile.

The students are selling space coins to support to support their cosmic ray research program. (Helium is expensive!) Each order comes with a greeting card showing the coins in flight and telling the story of their journey to the stratosphere and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Noctilucent Cloud Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Aug 15, 2024, the network reported 41 fireballs.
(24 Perseids, 16 sporadics, 1 southern delta Aquarid)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On August 15, 2024 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2024 PY3
2024-Aug-10
19.3 LD
15.1
60
2024 PP4
2024-Aug-10
8.4 LD
21.6
27
2024 KH3
2024-Aug-10
14.6 LD
11.4
193
2024 PK1
2024-Aug-10
16.9 LD
13.3
32
2024 PX3
2024-Aug-11
2.7 LD
9.7
22
2024 PK2
2024-Aug-11
3.3 LD
8.6
28
2024 PP5
2024-Aug-12
1.6 LD
19.3
20
2024 ON2
2024-Aug-12
17.6 LD
14
40
2024 OA3
2024-Aug-12
19.7 LD
26.4
107
2024 PR5
2024-Aug-12
1.4 LD
20.3
13
2024 OS
2024-Aug-13
20 LD
7
28
2024 PS1
2024-Aug-13
3.6 LD
8.6
18
2024 PH2
2024-Aug-14
4.7 LD
10.2
28
2024 PO3
2024-Aug-14
7.1 LD
7.8
12
2024 OB2
2024-Aug-14
19.9 LD
19.4
59
2024 PZ3
2024-Aug-15
0.7 LD
12.2
30
2021 GY1
2024-Aug-16
17.7 LD
6.3
59
2024 OY2
2024-Aug-17
4.3 LD
5.7
33
2022 BF2
2024-Aug-17
13.3 LD
17.1
91
2024 JV33
2024-Aug-19
12 LD
11.1
199
2024 PQ5
2024-Aug-20
13.5 LD
12.6
45
2020 RL
2024-Aug-27
12.2 LD
8.2
34
2021 RA10
2024-Aug-28
6.8 LD
4.9
29
2012 SX49
2024-Aug-29
11.2 LD
4.3
20
2016 RJ20
2024-Aug-30
18.3 LD
14.8
68
2021 JT
2024-Sep-01
16.4 LD
8.2
12
2021 RB16
2024-Sep-02
12.3 LD
8.4
15
2007 RX8
2024-Sep-02
18.5 LD
7
44
2022 SR
2024-Sep-07
9.1 LD
6.3
42
2023 SP2
2024-Sep-09
15.3 LD
4.2
8
2016 TU19
2024-Sep-11
13.2 LD
10.1
47
2019 DJ1
2024-Sep-15
10.4 LD
4.9
15
2024 ON
2024-Sep-17
2.6 LD
8.9
312
2013 FW13
2024-Sep-18
8.5 LD
15.6
162
2022 SW3
2024-Sep-19
6.8 LD
9.2
37
2015 SH
2024-Sep-19
11.6 LD
5.9
9
2023 RX1
2024-Sep-20
10.1 LD
1.1
3
2018 VG
2024-Sep-20
13.4 LD
7.3
12
2020 GE
2024-Sep-24
1.7 LD
2.2
8
2011 ST12
2024-Sep-27
17.6 LD
7.4
19
2023 GM1
2024-Oct-05
15.4 LD
5.2
13
2014 VA
2024-Oct-05
18.1 LD
6.3
46
2022 SU21
2024-Oct-06
17.5 LD
21.1
45
671076
2024-Oct-07
12.8 LD
8.6
120
2016 JG38
2024-Oct-08
13.2 LD
12
56
2018 QE
2024-Oct-09
1.7 LD
4.4
10
363027
2024-Oct-12
9.3 LD
16.6
419
2020 GE1
2024-Oct-12
20.1 LD
4.3
14
2022 UX1
2024-Oct-12
19.9 LD
9.9
9
2008 UU95
2024-Oct-12
13.5 LD
15.6
66
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics.
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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NASA Near Earth Asteroid Home Page

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T CrB NOVA WATCH
today: m=9.9 (Aug 15.2)
yesterday: m=9.9

more: AAVSO data | sky map

Explanation: When the nova explodes, the visual magnitude of the star (m) will jump from +10 (invisible to the naked eye) to +2 (about as bright as the North Star).



Moon Phases


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