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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 366.6 km/sec
density: 1.06 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C1
1948 UT Oct15
24-hr: C3
1633 UT Oct15
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 15 Oct 23
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Sunspot AR3460 has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 100
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 15 Oct 2023

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 15 Oct 2023


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.01x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 15 Oct 2023

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 148 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Oct 2023

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -2.7% Low
48-hr change: -0.3%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Oct 2023 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1.00 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 1.00
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 2.63 nT
Bz: 2.14 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 15 Oct 23

There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs began on May 26th. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here:


Updated: Aug. 29, 2023

Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

What happened to NASA's AIM spacecraft, which has been monitoring NLCs since 2007? Earlier this year, the spacecraft's battery failed. As a result AIM is offline, perhaps permanently. There may be some hope of a recovery as AIM's orbit precesses into full sunlight in 2024. Until then, we will maintain AIM's iconic "daily daisy," frozen at Feb. 28, 2023, as a show of thanks for years of service and hope for future daisies:
Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated Oct15
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2023 Oct 15 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
20 %
20 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2023 Oct 15 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
30 %
MINOR
01 %
10 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
25 %
SEVERE
15 %
35 %
 
Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

THE FORECAST CALLS FOR QUIET: With no CMEs heading for Earth and no solar flares in the offing, the forecast calls for quiet. Solar and geomagnetic activity should remain low for the rest of the weekend. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

COLANDERS AREN'T JUST FOR PASTA: Picture this: You just found out there's going to be a solar eclipse and--oh no!--you can't find your eclipse glasses. No problem. Just grab a colander. Steve Lee of Lovington, New Mexico, held one up to the sky on Oct 14th and created two hundred tiny images of the eclipsed sun:

Colanders make excellent eclipse projectors. Each hole in the pasta strainer acts like a pinhole camera, beaming an image of the sun onto any convenient screen. It's like an insect with compound eyes--an insect that did not lose its eclipse glasses.

The images on Lee's sidewalk look like donuts because that's how the sun looked at the time. An annular eclipse was underway, and the Moon was dead-center in front of the solar disk. 32,000 feet overhead, Derek Gallion photographed the "ring of fire" from his window seat on a flight passing by Albuquerque:

"We were passing through the path of annularity, so I held eclipse glasses in front of my phone to snap a picture," says Gallion. "It turned out pretty well!"

Pictures of the eclipse taken using colanders, leafy trees, mirrors, vintage cameras and modern cell phones are still pouring in from every corner of the Americas. Browse the Realtime Solar Eclipse Gallery for the latest, and if you have a picture, please submit it here.

Realtime Solar Eclipse Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

SOLAR SYSTEM CRYSTAL BALL: Are you looking for a far-out gift? Consider the Solar System Crystal Ball. Watch the video as the orb travels to the stratosphere onboard an Earth to Sky Calculus cosmic ray balloon, stretching and inverting the incredible landscape of the Sierra Nevada mountains behind it:

You can have it for $229.95. The students are selling these crystal balls to pay for their cosmic ray ballooning program. The 800 gram sphere contains a model of the Solar System, including the sun, eight planets and their moons. It makes an incredible gift for anyone interested in space.

Each one comes with a unique gift card showing the item at the edge of space and telling the story of its flight. All proceeds support Earth to Sky Calculus and hands-on STEM research.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Oct 15, 2023, the network reported 8 fireballs.
(5 sporadics, 1 Orionid, 1 Southern Taurid, 1 epsilon Geminid)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On October 15, 2023 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2023 TO
2023-Oct-10
3.8 LD
10.7
20
2023 TA7
2023-Oct-10
12.4 LD
10.4
39
2023 TM3
2023-Oct-10
0.4 LD
11.5
15
2023 TG8
2023-Oct-10
3 LD
12.5
9
2023 TZ4
2023-Oct-10
10.8 LD
8.7
30
2023 TH8
2023-Oct-10
2.5 LD
29.5
19
2023 TF2
2023-Oct-11
9.5 LD
19
28
2023 TE
2023-Oct-11
4.2 LD
5.6
15
2023 TU9
2023-Oct-11
12.9 LD
12.4
81
2022 UX1
2023-Oct-11
3.1 LD
8.6
9
2023 RD11
2023-Oct-11
12.8 LD
9.5
42
2023 TF4
2023-Oct-11
6 LD
8.7
16
2023 TZ9
2023-Oct-12
10.9 LD
15.1
38
2015 KW120
2023-Oct-12
18.2 LD
13
22
2023 TA10
2023-Oct-12
18.2 LD
9.4
55
2023 TP1
2023-Oct-12
13.9 LD
13.2
41
2023 TV3
2023-Oct-12
0.2 LD
14.2
11
2023 TL8
2023-Oct-12
9.2 LD
9.8
35
2023 TF3
2023-Oct-12
11.1 LD
19.6
26
2023 TC1
2023-Oct-13
10.6 LD
8.1
15
2023 TB4
2023-Oct-13
6.8 LD
10.6
15
2023 TJ1
2023-Oct-13
19.6 LD
9.1
32
2023 TK12
2023-Oct-13
11.9 LD
17.8
26
2023 TE8
2023-Oct-13
17.2 LD
12.3
22
2021 NT14
2023-Oct-13
18.6 LD
8.6
256
2023 TU5
2023-Oct-13
4.6 LD
8.3
10
2023 TD4
2023-Oct-13
5.6 LD
6.4
13
2023 TJ12
2023-Oct-14
10.7 LD
10.6
18
2023 TO4
2023-Oct-14
1.9 LD
16.8
11
2023 TD7
2023-Oct-14
0.4 LD
10.1
5
2023 TQ3
2023-Oct-14
3.8 LD
11.3
27
2023 TD8
2023-Oct-14
5.6 LD
9.9
9
2023 TC7
2023-Oct-15
1.7 LD
6.8
15
2023 TZ6
2023-Oct-15
11.1 LD
12.5
19
2011 GA
2023-Oct-15
6.8 LD
16.6
230
2023 TZ8
2023-Oct-15
11.1 LD
9.4
17
2007 SQ6
2023-Oct-15
19.4 LD
6.5
128
2023 TA4
2023-Oct-16
7.3 LD
4.1
11
2019 UZ3
2023-Oct-16
9.6 LD
8.3
14
2023 TT8
2023-Oct-16
5.8 LD
7.9
18
1998 HH49
2023-Oct-17
3.1 LD
14.8
193
2023 TF8
2023-Oct-17
5.5 LD
20.1
14
2023 TH12
2023-Oct-17
7.7 LD
8.3
23
2022 UO10
2023-Oct-19
7.8 LD
9.8
16
2023 TH4
2023-Oct-19
5.5 LD
5.4
13
2023 TP7
2023-Oct-19
8 LD
11.7
26
2020 UR
2023-Oct-20
5.8 LD
12.9
9
2023 TW4
2023-Oct-22
6.4 LD
10.5
27
2023 TX2
2023-Oct-22
13.2 LD
7.5
30
2023 TV4
2023-Oct-23
5.1 LD
5
34
2023 TC6
2023-Oct-23
13.4 LD
8.5
38
2020 FM6
2023-Oct-23
15.5 LD
15.9
149
2023 TX8
2023-Oct-24
3.3 LD
5.6
18
2019 HH4
2023-Oct-24
13.3 LD
20
381
2023 TE6
2023-Oct-24
17 LD
4.2
18
2023 RA4
2023-Oct-24
8.4 LD
3.9
47
2023 SO11
2023-Oct-25
3.3 LD
2.5
16
2023 TR7
2023-Oct-26
19.3 LD
11.4
29
2021 SZ4
2023-Oct-26
14 LD
30
289
302169
2023-Oct-26
12.7 LD
25.7
374
525229
2023-Oct-30
10.6 LD
17.4
200
2023 TW6
2023-Oct-31
19.2 LD
24.4
94
2013 UV3
2023-Nov-01
14.7 LD
15.4
15
2016 WY
2023-Nov-02
9.1 LD
3.9
5
363505
2023-Nov-02
13.7 LD
8
709
2022 JF
2023-Nov-03
15.2 LD
17.2
39
2023 QP8
2023-Nov-03
17.1 LD
8.8
180
2016 VW2
2023-Nov-03
10.1 LD
8.1
20
2019 UH7
2023-Nov-04
9.9 LD
5.9
11
2023 TZ2
2023-Nov-12
19 LD
2.8
24
2014 BA3
2023-Nov-13
15.7 LD
2.7
8
2021 TN3
2023-Nov-15
17 LD
6.3
31
2019 VL5
2023-Nov-16
8.5 LD
8.2
24
2019 LB1
2023-Nov-18
15.8 LD
4.2
14
2016 DK1
2023-Nov-19
5.3 LD
6.8
12
2022 VR1
2023-Nov-19
8.1 LD
6.1
39
2019 UT6
2023-Nov-24
9 LD
13.2
141
2019 CZ2
2023-Nov-25
2.8 LD
5.8
44
2013 UB3
2023-Nov-27
18.5 LD
5.4
25
1998 WB2
2023-Dec-03
11 LD
14.2
151
2013 VX4
2023-Dec-04
5.1 LD
6.6
60
139622
2023-Dec-06
14.4 LD
6.7
719
2020 HX3
2023-Dec-10
9.8 LD
15.7
13
2010 XF3
2023-Dec-11
19.4 LD
4
46
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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