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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 302.2 km/sec
density: 3.2 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B3
1840 UT Nov15
24-hr: B3
1840 UT Nov15
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 15 Nov 20
Departing sunspot AR2781 is stable and quiet. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 11
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 15 Nov 2020

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2020 total: 204 days (64%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 15 Nov 2020


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 5.65
x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 14 Nov 2020

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 80 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Nov 2020

Cosmic Rays Solar minimum is underway. The sun's magnetic field is weak, allowing extra cosmic rays into the solar system. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth in 2020 are near a Space Age peak.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: +9.8% High
48-hr change: +0.3%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Nov 2020 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 0 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.5 nT
Bz: 0.8 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
Coronal Holes: 15 Nov 20

There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds The northern-hemisphere season for noctilucent clouds has ended. The southern season begins in November. Between now and then, Earth has no noctilucent clouds.
Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar
Updated at:
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2020 Nov 15 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2020 Nov 15 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
10 %
MINOR
01 %
01 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
20 %
MINOR
20 %
20 %
SEVERE
10 %
10 %
 
Sunday, Nov. 15, 2020
What's up in space
       
 

Safe aurora tours: Thinking of a visit to Norway? Marianne's Heaven on Earth Aurora Tours has a 7-seater minivan for families who don't require social distancing. See the Northern Lights or take a scenic day tour. Book here

 

LEONID METEOR SHOWER: Earth is entering a stream of debris from Comet Tempel-Tuttle, source of the annual Leonid meteor shower. Watch this Leonid disintegrate over Michigan on Nov. 12th. Forecasters expect the shower to peak on the morning of Nov. 17th with 15 to 20 Leonids per hour: sky map.

TOTAL SOLAR ECLIPSE: Mark your calendar. On Dec. 14, 2020, the new Moon will pass directly in front of the sun, producing a total solar eclipse--the only one this year. The path of totality cuts across southern Chile and Argentina, as shown in this new video from space artist Larry Koehn:

At maximum, the sun will be hidden for 2 minutes and 10 seconds, revealing the sun's ghostly corona to onlookers inside the Moon's shadow. The sky will darken, a cool breeze will move across the landscape, and night birds will sing at midday. On a scale of 1 to 10, it's a million.

Normally, a solar eclipse prompts warnings of eye safety. Wear your eclipse glasses! This year it's important to wear a mask as well. The eclipse is occurring during a global pandemic. To prevent it from becoming a super-spreader event, crowds should obey all local masking and social distancing ordinances.


Above: A word cloud from Chile's official COVID website shows cities with high infection rates.

Most of the people who see the eclipse will be in Chile. The path of totality passes directly through the country's 3rd largest tourist area including popular resort destinations Pucon and Villarrica. Chile will open its borders to international travelers with negative COVID-19 tests on Nov. 30th, allowing access to the eclipse zone. Using a government website, travelers can explore infection rates along the path of totality. Unfortunately, the largest city in the path of totality, Temuco (population 220,000) is in complete lockdown, so eclipse chasers need to be very careful indeed.

Spaceweather.com has local photographers on the ground in Chile who will be sending us pictures during the eclipse. Stay tuned for a live view of the greatest show on Earth! (One month from now.)

Realtime Spaceweather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

ROSE QUARTZ ECLIPSE PENDANT: On Aug. 21, 2017, during the Great American Solar Eclipse, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched 11 space weather balloons from the path of totality. They aimed to photograph the Moon's shadow from the stratosphere--and they succeeded. As a fundraiser, some of the balloons carried jewelry. Here is a rose quartz crystal pendant entering the Moon's shadow more than 90,000 feet above the Malheur National Forest in eastern Oregon:

During the 2.5 hour flight, the pendants were wrapped in the Moon's shadow for more than two minutes, experiencing a spooky darkness colder than -50 C.

You can have one for $169.95. Each crystal pendant comes with a unique gift card showing the jewelry passing through the Moon's shadow and floating at the top of Earth's atmosphere. The interior of the card tells the story of the flight and confirms that this gift has been to the edge of space and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Nov. 14, 2020, the network reported 26 fireballs.
(22 sporadics, 3 Northern Taurids, 1 Leonid)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On November 15, 2020 there were 2037 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2018 VS4
2020-Nov-10
16.2 LD
10.1
25
2020 UN3
2020-Nov-10
11.6 LD
7.6
48
2020 UL3
2020-Nov-10
15.4 LD
11.2
78
2020 VP1
2020-Nov-11
0.5 LD
21.8
10
2020 VW1
2020-Nov-12
3.6 LD
6.1
8
2020 VO4
2020-Nov-12
19.1 LD
7.1
29
2020 VC1
2020-Nov-12
4.3 LD
6.1
28
2020 VC
2020-Nov-12
13.8 LD
11.2
34
2020 VF4
2020-Nov-13
2.9 LD
11.7
17
2020 VL1
2020-Nov-13
3.8 LD
5
13
2020 VT4
2020-Nov-13
0 LD
13.4
6
2020 VW4
2020-Nov-13
5.3 LD
5.8
20
2020 VC2
2020-Nov-14
8 LD
7.1
10
2020 TB9
2020-Nov-14
13.1 LD
6
25
2020 ST1
2020-Nov-14
19.1 LD
8.1
142
2019 VL5
2020-Nov-15
8.5 LD
8.2
23
2020 VT3
2020-Nov-15
1.2 LD
9
6
2020 VR4
2020-Nov-16
5.9 LD
12.9
28
2020 VA3
2020-Nov-16
11.1 LD
4.8
9
2020 VS1
2020-Nov-16
7.3 LD
8.4
13
2020 VB3
2020-Nov-16
1.5 LD
5.5
4
2020 VA5
2020-Nov-16
6 LD
10
13
2020 UB5
2020-Nov-16
20 LD
4.4
35
2020 VB5
2020-Nov-16
3 LD
17.3
10
2020 VS4
2020-Nov-17
4.3 LD
8.3
16
2020 VG4
2020-Nov-17
2.1 LD
8
8
2020 VY
2020-Nov-17
16.2 LD
11.6
36
2020 VQ2
2020-Nov-18
4 LD
10.8
14
2020 VX4
2020-Nov-18
1.1 LD
11.4
12
2020 VK4
2020-Nov-19
5.1 LD
3.2
8
2020 VP4
2020-Nov-19
2.8 LD
3.6
10
2020 VA1
2020-Nov-20
11.7 LD
8.7
38
2020 VR2
2020-Nov-21
6 LD
6.6
12
2020 VW2
2020-Nov-23
18.5 LD
6.8
13
2017 WJ16
2020-Nov-23
5 LD
4.8
49
2020 TJ8
2020-Nov-24
16.8 LD
4.6
33
2018 RQ4
2020-Nov-26
8.1 LD
7.4
15
2020 VO2
2020-Nov-26
12.6 LD
6.2
17
2020 KZ2
2020-Nov-28
5.7 LD
3.9
10
153201
2020-Nov-29
11.2 LD
25.1
490
2020 SO
2020-Dec-01
0.1 LD
3.9
6
2019 XH2
2020-Dec-02
16.1 LD
6.4
6
2018 PK21
2020-Dec-08
12.2 LD
3.1
23
2019 XQ1
2020-Dec-13
18.4 LD
8.6
30
2020 VY1
2020-Dec-16
13.3 LD
4.4
22
2017 XQ60
2020-Dec-21
10.8 LD
15.6
47
2011 CL50
2020-Dec-24
3.1 LD
3.4
11
501647
2020-Dec-25
7.9 LD
10
123
2012 XE133
2020-Dec-27
11.7 LD
9.2
74
2016 AF2
2020-Dec-27
7.3 LD
5.3
9
2012 UK171
2020-Dec-30
15.5 LD
4.7
47
2019 YB4
2021-Jan-02
16.8 LD
7.2
16
2003 AF23
2021-Jan-03
18.3 LD
15.8
235
2019 QW2
2021-Jan-03
8.8 LD
4.9
39
2012 BT1
2021-Jan-04
13.6 LD
7.7
12
2016 CO247
2021-Jan-06
19.3 LD
16.7
282
2018 KP1
2021-Jan-06
8.2 LD
4.4
34
332446
2021-Jan-06
9.6 LD
11
408
2015 NU13
2021-Jan-09
14.8 LD
15.1
408
2020 RO6
2021-Jan-11
19.5 LD
7.9
105
2013 YS2
2021-Jan-11
18.2 LD
3.7
78
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SOMETHING NEW! We have developed a new predictive model of aviation radiation. It's called E-RAD--short for Empirical RADiation model. We are constantly flying radiation sensors onboard airplanes over the US and and around the world, so far collecting more than 22,000 gps-tagged radiation measurements. Using this unique dataset, we can predict the dosage on any flight over the USA with an error no worse than 15%.

E-RAD lets us do something new: Every day we monitor approximately 1400 flights criss-crossing the 10 busiest routes in the continental USA. Typically, this includes more than 80,000 passengers per day. E-RAD calculates the radiation exposure for every single flight.

The Hot Flights Table is a daily summary of these calculations. It shows the 5 charter flights with the highest dose rates; the 5 commercial flights with the highest dose rates; 5 commercial flights with near-average dose rates; and the 5 commercial flights with the lowest dose rates. Passengers typically experience dose rates that are 20 to 70 times higher than natural radiation at sea level.

To measure radiation on airplanes, we use the same sensors we fly to the stratosphere onboard Earth to Sky Calculus cosmic ray balloons: neutron bubble chambers and X-ray/gamma-ray Geiger tubes sensitive to energies between 10 keV and 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Column definitions: (1) The flight number; (2) The maximum dose rate during the flight, expressed in units of natural radiation at sea level; (3) The maximum altitude of the plane in feet above sea level; (4) Departure city; (5) Arrival city; (6) Duration of the flight.

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Approximately once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 18% since 2015:

The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

En route to the stratosphere, our sensors also pass through aviation altitudes:

In this plot, dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x.

The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth's magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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Play Space Wars and other space themed slots at InstaCasino and get 10 RealSpins when signing up!

Play space themed games at Norges Casino for your chance to win big!

CasinoTopp.net – Norwegian guide about casino online

iGaming company Value Marketing have office in Norway and Malta

If you like to play space themed games check Norges Casino to play for free.

If you like online casinos, check out https://thesocialcasino.co.uk/ for the latest brands

If you like online casinos, check out https://www.newslotsite.org.uk/ for the latest brands.



       
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©2019 Spaceweather.com. All rights reserved.