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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 572.8 km/sec
density: 12.52 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C4
2325 UT Sep18
24-hr: C4
2325 UT Sep18
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 18 Sep 23
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
New large sunspot AR3435 merits watching as a possible source of M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 94
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 18 Sep 2023

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 18 Sep 2023


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.08x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 18 Sep 2023

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 145 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 18 Sep 2023

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -2.7% Low
48-hr change: -0.2%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 18 Sep 2023 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 5.00 storm
24-hr max: Kp= 5.00
storm
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 15.57 nT
Bz: -2.05 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1146 UT
Coronal Holes: 18 Sep 23

There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs began on May 26th. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here:


Updated: Aug. 29, 2023

Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

What happened to NASA's AIM spacecraft, which has been monitoring NLCs since 2007? Earlier this year, the spacecraft's battery failed. As a result AIM is offline, perhaps permanently. There may be some hope of a recovery as AIM's orbit precesses into full sunlight in 2024. Until then, we will maintain AIM's iconic "daily daisy," frozen at Feb. 28, 2023, as a show of thanks for years of service and hope for future daisies:
Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated Sep18
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2023 Sep 18 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
20 %
20 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2023 Sep 18 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
25 %
30 %
MINOR
40 %
10 %
SEVERE
35 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
05 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
20 %
SEVERE
75 %
20 %
 
Monday, Sep. 18, 2023
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

CME IMPACT SPARKS GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Arriving more than 12 hours earlier than expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Sept 18th (1350 UT). The impact was sharp, abruptly raising the solar wind velocity around our planet above 550 km/s and tripling the plasma density. First contact did not cause a geomagnetic storm, but now a G1-class storm is underway as Earth moves deeper into the CME's magnetized wake.

"This bright and active aurora was visible as soon as the sky got dark enough here in northeastern Scotland," reports Alan C. Tough:

"It didn't last long! " he says. "Hopefully it will fire up again later." Aurora alerts: SMS Text

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

SOME COMETS LIKE IT HOT: Yesterday, Sept. 17th, Comet Nishimura (C/2023 P1) made a close approach to the sun deep inside the orbit of Mercury (0.22 AU). The comet survived. Petr Horalek photographed it emerging intact from Mount Lysa in Sabinov, Slovakia:

"Because of the glare of sunset, the comet was not visible to the naked eye, however I was able to photograph it using a 5 second exposure at ISO 100," says Horalek. "The comet's brightness is hard to estimate. Considering other stars and the comet's location over the horizon, I believe it to be magnitude 2.0 to 2.5."

Horalek's estimate agrees with that of other experienced observers. If the comet remains this bright, it could become easy to see as it recedes from the sun in the evenings ahead. Stay tuned for updates.

more images: from Michael Jaeger of Stixendorf, Austria; from Radek Grochowski of Sudetes, Poland; from Martin Gembec of the Czech Republic; from Nick James of La Palma, Canary Islands;

Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

SOLAR ECLIPSE PENDANT: The students of Earth to Sky Calculus are about to try something never done before--to photograph the shadow of an annular solar eclipse from the stratosphere. On Oct. 14th, they'll launch a cosmic ray research balloon equipped with cameras to photograph the shadow zone of an eclipse over Nevada. You can support the flight by buying a Solar Eclipse Pendant:

It's yours for $99.95. The students launched this pendant on July 17th. Floating at an altitude 105,000 feet above Earth’s surface, it made contact with space, experiencing temperatures as low as -63 C.

Buy the pendent now and for no additional charge we will fly it back to the stratosphere during the annular eclipse. Just make a note in the COMMENTS BOX of your shopping cart: "Fly my pendant again!"

Note: We have photographed the shadow of an eclipse before. Here's what the total eclipse of Aug. 21, 2017, looked like from the stratosphere over the Nebraska-Wyoming border:

Total eclipses make deep black shadows, in this case blacking out more than 70 miles of terrain. What does the shadow of an *annular* eclipse look like? We hope to find out. It should be fuzzier around the edges, and not nearly as dark in the middle. An overview from the stratosphere could provide a unique picture.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Sep 18, 2023, the network reported 3 fireballs.
(3 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On September 18, 2023 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2023 RR
2023-Sep-13
17.4 LD
21.2
49
2023 RH2
2023-Sep-13
11.3 LD
21.5
58
2023 SE
2023-Sep-13
8.7 LD
13.6
26
2023 RR5
2023-Sep-13
0.5 LD
13.8
6
2023 RC4
2023-Sep-13
13.1 LD
7.6
17
2023 SG
2023-Sep-13
9.8 LD
8.4
17
2023 RA10
2023-Sep-14
3.5 LD
4.2
6
2023 RZ7
2023-Sep-14
9.9 LD
11.9
57
2023 RL6
2023-Sep-14
8.6 LD
9.2
25
2023 RE5
2023-Sep-14
2.3 LD
13.6
13
2023 SP
2023-Sep-14
2.3 LD
14
16
2023 RZ9
2023-Sep-15
13.1 LD
5.8
15
2023 SF
2023-Sep-15
14.9 LD
7.9
26
2023 SB
2023-Sep-15
6.8 LD
6.3
14
2023 RO2
2023-Sep-15
7 LD
6
10
2016 LY48
2023-Sep-16
5 LD
10.8
99
2023 RY7
2023-Sep-16
13.7 LD
11.2
27
2023 RM5
2023-Sep-16
11.5 LD
9.5
19
2023 RA15
2023-Sep-16
20 LD
20.9
31
2010 TE
2023-Sep-16
6.8 LD
6
22
2023 RB15
2023-Sep-16
14.6 LD
8.3
24
2023 RG13
2023-Sep-16
12.7 LD
7
46
2023 RQ9
2023-Sep-16
10.5 LD
7.7
26
2023 SA
2023-Sep-17
8.2 LD
14.7
15
2023 RD13
2023-Sep-17
9.1 LD
4.9
17
2023 RH11
2023-Sep-17
3.6 LD
14.3
17
2023 RJ11
2023-Sep-17
14.9 LD
6.8
21
2023 RO9
2023-Sep-17
13.2 LD
12.3
24
2023 SQ
2023-Sep-18
2.2 LD
6.1
35
2023 RV7
2023-Sep-18
10.7 LD
19.9
34
2023 RV9
2023-Sep-18
10.1 LD
7.2
40
2023 RG16
2023-Sep-18
3.6 LD
11.8
17
2023 RE15
2023-Sep-18
16 LD
3.1
25
2023 RF13
2023-Sep-19
10.5 LD
7.2
34
2023 RK3
2023-Sep-19
18.8 LD
9.6
41
2023 RV15
2023-Sep-20
12.9 LD
14.5
34
2023 RV12
2023-Sep-20
9 LD
6.6
21
2023 RP9
2023-Sep-20
2.3 LD
13.2
29
2023 RA8
2023-Sep-20
15.5 LD
6.6
27
523598
2023-Sep-20
19.8 LD
25
239
2023 SJ
2023-Sep-21
16.9 LD
16.5
49
2023 RR6
2023-Sep-21
15.5 LD
7.5
14
2023 RQ6
2023-Sep-22
15.8 LD
9.4
24
2023 RU3
2023-Sep-23
19.8 LD
11.6
33
2023 RD15
2023-Sep-24
6 LD
5
15
2019 SF6
2023-Sep-26
16.7 LD
8.6
20
2023 RF3
2023-Sep-28
15.5 LD
7.7
39
2013 TG6
2023-Sep-28
3.6 LD
4.1
17
2023 RF9
2023-Sep-29
10.6 LD
9.3
25
2009 UG
2023-Sep-30
6.1 LD
9
78
349507
2023-Oct-03
16.5 LD
21
696
2022 FX1
2023-Oct-04
20 LD
9.9
25
2019 QO5
2023-Oct-05
19.9 LD
9.4
61
2023 RF10
2023-Oct-05
15.8 LD
5.8
27
2023 QC8
2023-Oct-05
15.8 LD
6.3
43
2022 TD
2023-Oct-07
8.9 LD
9.4
10
2018 ER1
2023-Oct-08
12.5 LD
5.3
27
2022 UX1
2023-Oct-11
3.1 LD
8.6
9
2023 RD11
2023-Oct-11
12.8 LD
9.5
39
2015 KW120
2023-Oct-12
18.2 LD
13
22
2021 NT14
2023-Oct-13
18.6 LD
8.6
254
2011 GA
2023-Oct-15
6.8 LD
16.6
230
2007 SQ6
2023-Oct-15
19.4 LD
6.5
130
2019 UZ3
2023-Oct-16
9.6 LD
8.3
14
1998 HH49
2023-Oct-17
3.1 LD
14.8
193
2022 UO10
2023-Oct-19
7.8 LD
9.8
16
2020 UR
2023-Oct-20
5.8 LD
12.9
9
2020 FM6
2023-Oct-23
15.5 LD
15.9
149
2019 HH4
2023-Oct-24
13.3 LD
20
365
2023 RA4
2023-Oct-24
8.4 LD
3.9
49
2021 SZ4
2023-Oct-26
14 LD
30
287
302169
2023-Oct-26
12.7 LD
25.7
374
525229
2023-Oct-30
10.6 LD
17.4
200
2013 UV3
2023-Nov-01
14.7 LD
15.4
16
2016 WY
2023-Nov-02
9.1 LD
3.9
5
363505
2023-Nov-02
13.7 LD
8
709
2022 JF
2023-Nov-03
15.2 LD
17.2
39
2023 QP8
2023-Nov-03
17.1 LD
8.8
174
2016 VW2
2023-Nov-03
10.1 LD
8.1
20
2019 UH7
2023-Nov-04
9.9 LD
5.9
11
2014 BA3
2023-Nov-13
15.7 LD
2.7
8
2021 TN3
2023-Nov-15
17 LD
6.3
31
2019 VL5
2023-Nov-16
8.5 LD
8.2
24
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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