CHANCE OF FLARES TODAY: NOAA forecasters say there is an 85% chance of M-class solar flares and a 35% chance of X-flares on Nov. 9th. The most likely source is new sunspot AR3889, which has an unstable 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field. Any flares will be geoeffective as the sunspot is turning to face Earth. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text
AFTERGLOW OF A CME: A CME hit Earth on Nov. 7th. The impact was weak and did not immediately cause a geomagnetic storm. The afterglow, however, was out of this world:
Yrjö Benson of Ylläsjärvi, Finland, took this picture on Nov. 8th. "The auroras were spectacular here 110 km north of the Arctic Circle," he says. "This beautiful reddish-yellowish aurora rose from the west at 21.08 Finnish time and continued all the way up to zenith."
The auroras Benson photographed appeared more than 24 hours after the CME arrived. This is surprisingly common. CMEs often fail to cause geomagnetic activity when they first arrive. Instead, the action is delayed until Earth enters the CME's tail. South-pointing magnetic fields in the tail can cancel Earth's north-pointing planetary magnetic field; we call this "a crack in Earth's magnetosphere." Solar wind flows through the gap to fuel the afterglow.
So, the next time a CME strikes, be patient. The auroras could take a while. Would you like a text message when cracks form? They're sent to subscribers of the Space Weather Alert Pro Plan.
more images: from Alan C Tough of Elgin, Moray, Scotland; from Thomas Spence of Tofte, Minnesota; from Carlos Garcia flying over eastern Washington State, USA;
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14K ROSE GOLD BUTTERFLY LOCKET: Are you looking for a far-out gift? Consider the 14K Rose Gold Butterfly Locket. On Oct 11, 2024, it flew to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon, reaching an altitude 109,003 feet above the Sierra Nevada mountains of California:
You can have it for $149.95. Made of 14K rose gold and engraved with dozens of butterflies, the locket floated in the stratosphere for 3 hours while radiation sensors inside the payload gathered data for the students' radiation monitoring project. It comes with a greeting card showing the pendant in flight and telling the story of its journey to the edge of space and back again.
The students of Earth to Sky Calculus are selling space jewelry to support their cosmic ray ballooning program. Don't wait for Christmas--get yours now!
Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education
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